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China Daily
Asia needs to transform and upgrade its development model in keeping with the trend of the times. Sustaining development is still of paramount importance to Asia, because only development holds the key to solving major problems and difficulties it faces. It is important that we should shift the growth model, adjust the economic structure, make development more cost effective and make life better for our people. We need to make concerted efforts to resolve major difficulties to ensure stability in Asia. Stability in Asia now faces new challenges, as hotspot issues keep emerging, and both traditional and non-traditional security threats exist. The Asian countries need to increase mutual trust and work together to ensure durable peace and stability in our region. We need to build on past success and make new progress in promoting cooperation in Asia. There are many mechanisms and initiatives for enhancing cooperation in Asia, and a lot of ideas on boosting such cooperation are being explored by various parties. What we need to do is to enhance mutual understanding, build consensus, and enrich and deepen cooperation so as to strike a balance among the interests of various parties and build mechanisms that bring benefits to all.
ARCID China Update
ARCID China Update (Vol.1 No.1)2018 •
ARCID China Update is a journal under the China Watch Project of Asian Research Center for International Development (ARCID), School of Social Innovation, Mae Fah Luang University, compiling by me. This journal aims to provide news and update information on China and the Mekong Region relations. It includes the chronology of news. It also provides selected documentation related to China and the Mekong Region and selected analysis which show some interesting views from analysts.
Regional order in the Asia Pacific is under contest: the U.S pursues the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) and some Asian nations promote an Asian track of dialogues. Both multilateral tracks seek to shape China’s regional behaviors and manage the rise of China. Little research, however, has been done on either how China views these frameworks or China’s own regional initiative, the New Silk Road Strategy. The article presents a first-hand analysis of Chinese elites’ views and its new proposition for a regional order, thus to offer policy lessons regarding the rise of China. Theoretically, the domestic-conscious approach with its emphasis on internal variables adds to existing literature on China and regionalism and helps us understand how China’s domestic dynamics drives its regional policymaking and implementation.
Pyrex Journal of Political Science and International Relations
China OBOR-PyrexJournal2017 •
China’s OBOR has been presented as China’s leading and very ambitious development project for the next four decades. Some see in it the Chinese Marshall Plan aiming to integrate China in its environment and accommodate the policies of the East Asian countries into Beijing’s own ambitions and priorities. China has the financial resources, the institutional frameworks such as the AIIB, the will and the power to make it work. The megaproject comes at a time of America’s retreat from East Asian initiatives like the TPP and downgrade of the security and defence alliances that the U.S. maintains with several Asian nations. The initiative was received initially with reservations from Russia, a major Eurasian power, and as a security challenge in Russia’s backyard. But the very special “momentum” in Putin-Xi relationship seems to reunite Russia-China divergent interests. If this megaproject succeeds what will be the long-term consequences for the international order, as we know it?
2015 •
China’s Silk Road Economic Belt and 21st-Century Maritime Silk Road initiative aims to connect Asia, Africa, Europe, and their near seas. The purpose of this study is to examine whether it would be beneficial for the European member states to invest in a common response strategy to the One Belt One Road, as opposed to engaging this initiative primarily at the national level. After exploring how the EU’s deteriorating security environment has caused member states to attach more importance to maintaining the EU’s defence and power projection capabilities, the paper turns to the strategies currently employed to gain more influence over security matters in East Asia. Upon examination, it is shown that three out of four approaches hold little promise of progress. (1) Engagement with ASEAN will only reach its full potential when its integration process is completed, (2) expanding consultations with the US might lead to the perception of a ‘dependent’ Europe and loss of neutrality, and (3) a lack of hard power means that the EU is often not taken seriously as a security actor when participating in regional forums. The remainder of the paper explores the opportunity that has surfaced with regards to the fourth approach: utilising the EU’s strategic partnerships in Asia. Under the definition contained in Xi Jinping’s New Security Concept stating that ‘development equals security’, China’s One Belt One Road initiative can be conceptualized as both the most ambitious infrastructure and security initiative today. It is argued that if Europe works with China in the framework of their strategic partnership to align, among others, the planned restructuring of its European Neighbourhood Strategy, as well as projects included under its European Maritime Security Strategy and Partnership Instrument to link in with the Belt and Road projects, this would entail a true added value for the EU. Doing so will enable members states to not just compete for the benefits of increased Chinese investments on their own territories, but embed China’s initiative in their own strategic goal of gaining a larger security footprint in the Asian region.
The Geopolitics of East Asia: New Geometries of Competition and Cooperation The present study aims to develop an analysis of how the fast-changing geopolitics and geoeconomics of East Asia impacts current and potential trends in cross-regional economic cooperation, with a focus on Latin America. The paper revolves around three anchor trends: i. The Economic Transformation of East Asia; ii. Security and Cooperation in the Pacific; and iii. Mega-Agreements. For each of these areas, the study provides a succinct yet analytical overview of current debates by incorporating both Western and non-Western perspectives from academe and policy. East Asia finds itself at a crossroads. Along with its transformation and emergence as the new economic powerhouse, new sources of uncertainty are emerging, as are novel patterns of cooperation. China remains the central element shaping the region’s economic, political and security dynamics, but it is by no means the only important actor. The ways in which China opts to interact with other states within the region—and, conversely, the response of Asian actors to China’s continuing rise—shapes patterns of cooperation, competition, and contestation in the region that reach far beyond the area conventionally known as East Asia. The three anchor trends analyzed provide the basis for three prospective scenarios, in which different configurations of power are laid out for East Asia over the next two decades. The first entails regional hegemony by China; the second, regional bipolarity with China and Japan as the main actors; and the third, regional multipolarity marked by shifting centers of gravity and changing alignments. In turn, each of these scenarios has a particular set of implications for Latin American actors, from states to private sector firms and non-governmental organizations. The complexity of the scenarios prompt more questions than allow for fixed conclusions. These changing geometries of competition and cooperation in East Asia (and more broadly, in Asia as a whole) are important to Latin American actors not only because they will shape opportunities in trade and investment, but also because new sectors and market niches will open up (or, in some cases, close down). The paper intends to launch deeper debates about how East Asia’s rapidly changing landscape of power may translate into opportunities and challenges for Latin America. It thus closes with a set of key questions for further discussion and research as follows: How does Latin America view the interests and cooperation styles of their Asian counterparts, and how do they understand the relevance of the geopolitical and geoeconomic transformations in shaping ties between Latin America and East Asia?
This paper was presented to the biannual conference of IPSA, the International Political Science Association, at July 2016 in Poland. I received in that time some suggestions to upgrade the paper with a more detailled analysis of the Central Asia countries perspective abou this policy and China's ambitions. In the last two years the Initiative (as the Chineses like to call it) was enlarged to include countries in the Indian subcontinent and Africa. I would appreciate any comments about how colleagues see this policy as an opportunity, a risk or a threat to the countries envolved.
Japanese Journal of Political Science, Vol.14, No.4, pp.543-566
Whither East Asia Regionalism? China’s Pragmatism and Community Building Rhetoric2013 •
Revista Brasileira de Política Internacional (RBPI) special issue, pp.28-48
Swords into Ploughshares? China’s Soft Power Strategy in Southeast Asia and Its Challenges2014 •
Orta Asya ve Kafkasya Araştırmaları
China's Foreign Policy in Central Asia2010 •
AUSTRAL: Brazilian Journal of Strategy & International Relations
The Game For Regional Hegemony: China's OBOR and India's Strategic Response2018 •
Sasakawa Peace Foundation's Policy Recommendations by the Quadripartite Commission on the Indian Ocean Regional Security: Appendix
Traditional and Non-Traditional Security Issues in the Indian Ocean2018 •
China’s Belt and Road Initiative and Its Impact in Central Asia
“Human Silk Road”: The People-to-People Aspect of the Belt and Road Initiative in China’s Belt and Road Initiative and Its Impact in Central Asia2017 •
2012 •
2015 •
China Pakistan Economic Corridor: Demands, Dividends and Directions
complete report cpec-2 (1).pdfAl-Mustaqbal Al-Arabi, 2008 / translated in Heinrich Boll Stiftung Publication,
After Georgia and George: A Return to the Cold War or a Completely New International Reality2010 •
Transnational Ties and Local Society´s Role in Improving the PRC‘s Image in Central Asia (2018), In: CHINA’S BELT AND ROAD INITIATIVE AND ITS IMPACT IN CENTRAL ASIA, Marlene Laruelle (ed.), Washington, D.C.: The George Washington University, Central Asia Program 2018
Transnational Ties and Local Society´s Role in Improving the PRC‘s Image in Central Asia (2018), In: CHINA’S BELT AND ROAD INITIATIVE AND ITS IMPACT IN CENTRAL ASIA, Marlene Laruelle (ed.), Washington, D.C.: The George Washington University, Central Asia Program, pp. 126-134.2018 •
East Asia Strategic Review: China’s Rising Strategic Ambitions in Asia
1. Chapter 2: “China’s Japan Challenge: Regional Ambitions and Geopolitics of East Asia”2019 •