The Caixin China General Manufacturing PMI rose to 50.3 in October 2024 from 49.3 in the prior month, beating market forecasts of 49.7 while marking a shift to an expansion in factory activity after a series of stimulus measures from Beijing in late September. Output grew at the fastest pace in four months, driven by a renewed rise in new orders and increased buying levels. However, export orders continued to fall, albeit at a slower rate. Employment shrank the most in almost 1-1/2 years, with unfinished work growing due to a reduction in workforce capacity. On prices, input cost rose after falling in the previous two months, reflecting rising material costs. Consequently, selling prices increased for the first time since June as firms passed on the higher input costs. Despite this, export charges continued to fall as exporters faced heightened competition. Meantime, freight costs fell for some exports but lead times lengthened again. Finally, confidence notched a five-month peak. source: S&P Global

Manufacturing PMI in China increased to 50.30 points in October from 49.30 points in September of 2024. Manufacturing PMI in China averaged 50.11 points from 2011 until 2024, reaching an all time high of 54.90 points in November of 2020 and a record low of 40.30 points in February of 2020. This page provides the latest reported value for - China Manufacturing PMI - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

Manufacturing PMI in China increased to 50.30 points in October from 49.30 points in September of 2024. Manufacturing PMI in China is expected to be 50.00 points by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. In the long-term, the China Caixin Manufacturing PMI is projected to trend around 50.30 points in 2025 and 53.00 points in 2026, according to our econometric models.




Related Last Previous Unit Reference
Business Conditions Index 48.10 46.00 points Oct 2024
NBS Manufacturing PMI 50.10 49.80 points Oct 2024
Industrial Capacity Utilization 75.10 74.90 percent Sep 2024
Passanger Car Production 2706000.00 2502000.00 Units Oct 2024
Passenger Car Sales 2755000.00 2525000.00 Units Oct 2024
Cement Production 17498.40 16847.00 Ten Thousands of Tonnes Oct 2024
Changes in Inventories 9327.40 14959.00 CNY Hundred Million Dec 2023
Composite Leading Indicator 99.53 99.53 points Oct 2024
Industrial Profits (YTD) YoY 5228160.00 4652730.00 CNY Million Sep 2024
Corruption Index 42.00 45.00 Points Dec 2023
Corruption Rank 76.00 65.00 Dec 2023
Electricity Production 731000.00 802360.00 Gigawatt-hour Oct 2024
Industrial Production YoY 5.30 5.40 percent Oct 2024
Industrial Production Mom 0.41 0.59 percent Oct 2024
Leading Economic Index 149.40 149.70 points Sep 2024
Manufacturing Production YoY 5.40 5.20 percent Oct 2024
Mining Production 4.60 3.70 percent Oct 2024
New Orders 49.90 48.90 points Sep 2024
Steel Production 77100.00 77900.00 Thousand Tonnes Sep 2024
Vehicle Sales YoY 3050000.00 2809000.00 Units Oct 2024

China Caixin Manufacturing PMI
In China, the Caixin Manufacturing PMI Purchasing Managers' Index measures the performance of the manufacturing sector and is derived from a survey of private 430 industrial companies. The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index is based on five individual indexes with the following weights: New Orders (30 percent), Output (25 percent), Employment (20 percent), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15 percent) and Stock of Items Purchased (10 percent), with the Delivery Times index inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion of the manufacturing sector compared to the previous month; below 50 represents a contraction; while 50 indicates no change. This is only a limited sample of PMI headline data displayed on the Customer’s service, under licence from S&P Global. Full historic PMI headline data and all other PMI sub-index data and histories are available on subscription from S&P Global. Contact economics@spglobal.com for more details.


News Stream
China Manufacturing Returns to Growth
The Caixin China General Manufacturing PMI rose to 50.3 in October 2024 from 49.3 in the prior month, beating market forecasts of 49.7 while marking a shift to an expansion in factory activity after a series of stimulus measures from Beijing in late September. Output grew at the fastest pace in four months, driven by a renewed rise in new orders and increased buying levels. However, export orders continued to fall, albeit at a slower rate. Employment shrank the most in almost 1-1/2 years, with unfinished work growing due to a reduction in workforce capacity. On prices, input cost rose after falling in the previous two months, reflecting rising material costs. Consequently, selling prices increased for the first time since June as firms passed on the higher input costs. Despite this, export charges continued to fall as exporters faced heightened competition. Meantime, freight costs fell for some exports but lead times lengthened again. Finally, confidence notched a five-month peak.
2024-11-01
China Caixin Manufacturing Unexpectedly Shrinks
The Caixin China General Manufacturing PMI fell to 49.3 in September 2024 from August's 50.4, missing market forecasts of 50.5 and pointing to the lowest level since July 2023. There was a renewed downturn in new orders, which hit their lowest in two years. Meanwhile, foreign sales fell the most in 13 months, due to subdued market conditions. Also, employment shrank, with backlogs of work falling for the first time in seven months. Further, purchasing levels dropped amid reduced new work inflows. That said, output rose marginally, with growth hitting its slowest in the current sequence of rise. Simultaneously, delivery times slightly lengthened. On prices, input prices fell the most in 15 months due to lower raw material costs, while output prices shrank at the fastest pace in six months, linked to efforts to boost sales as competition intensified. Finally, business sentiment fell to its second-lowest on record.
2024-09-30
China Manufacturing PMI Beats Estimates
The Caixin China General Manufacturing PMI rose to 50.4 in August 2024 from 49.8 in July, above market forecasts of 50.0 as new orders returned to growth, driving faster production expansion amid better underlying demand conditions. However, foreign demand fell marginally for the first time in the year-to-rate amid report of deteriorating conditions. Meanwhile, employment stabilized after eleven months of decline due to an improvement in demand conditions, with the backlogs of work rising for the sixth straight month. Purchasing activity fell marginally while delivery times lengthened at a slightly faster pace due to supply and transportation constraints. On prices, input prices fell for the first time in five months due to lower raw material prices, while output prices dropped as firms offered discounts to remain competitive. Finally, business sentiment improved to a three-month high, supported by optimism about improvements in economic conditions.
2024-09-02