When to Sweat the Small Stuff: identifying the most informative events from ground-based gravitational-wave detectors

R Essick, DE Holz - arXiv preprint arXiv:2407.11693, 2024 - arxiv.org
arXiv preprint arXiv:2407.11693, 2024arxiv.org
We explore scaling relations for the information carried by individual events, and how that
information accumulates in catalogs like those from ground-based gravitational-wave
detectors. For a variety of situations, the larger number of quiet/distant signals dominates the
overall information over the fewer loud/close sources, independent of how many model
parameters are considered. We consider implications for a range of astrophysical scenarios,
including calibration uncertainty and standard siren cosmology. However, the large number …
We explore scaling relations for the information carried by individual events, and how that information accumulates in catalogs like those from ground-based gravitational-wave detectors. For a variety of situations, the larger number of quiet/distant signals dominates the overall information over the fewer loud/close sources, independent of how many model parameters are considered. We consider implications for a range of astrophysical scenarios, including calibration uncertainty and standard siren cosmology. However, the large number of additional events obtained by lowering the detection threshold can rapidly increase costs. We introduce a simple analysis that balances the costs of analyzing increasingly large numbers of low information events against retaining a higher threshold and running a survey for longer. With the caveat that precise cost estimates are difficult to determine, current economics favor analyzing low signal-to-noise ratio events. However, the higher detection rates expected for next-generation detectors may argue for a higher signal-to-noise ratio threshold for optimal scientific return.
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