CN118653970A - A method and system for correcting the warning threshold of wind turbine operation status - Google Patents
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Abstract
本发明提供了一种风电机组运行状态预警阈值的修正方法及系统,涉及风力发电领域,该方法通过实时采集风机机组的运行数据,形成时间序列数据;对时间序列数据进行突变检测,将超过阈值的点标记为异常点,并记录每个异常点的位置、幅度和持续时间;从风机机组的历史运行数据中提取以异常点为起点的时间序列特征、频域特征和统计特征;并计算每个异常点的突变幅度和持续时间,使用快速傅里叶变换对异常点周围的数据进行频率分析,提取频率成分;将提取的特征作为输入,训练故障预测模型,使用训练后的模型对风机机组的运行状态进行预测和评估,识别出预测结果;生成预警信号。本发明通过动态调整预警阈值,提高预警的准确性和及时性。
The present invention provides a method and system for correcting the threshold value of early warning of the operation status of a wind turbine set, which relates to the field of wind power generation. The method collects the operation data of the wind turbine set in real time to form time series data; performs mutation detection on the time series data, marks the points exceeding the threshold value as abnormal points, and records the position, amplitude and duration of each abnormal point; extracts the time series features, frequency domain features and statistical features with the abnormal point as the starting point from the historical operation data of the wind turbine set; calculates the mutation amplitude and duration of each abnormal point, uses fast Fourier transform to perform frequency analysis on the data around the abnormal point, and extracts the frequency component; uses the extracted features as input to train a fault prediction model, uses the trained model to predict and evaluate the operation status of the wind turbine set, and identifies the prediction result; and generates an early warning signal. The present invention improves the accuracy and timeliness of early warning by dynamically adjusting the early warning threshold.
Description
技术领域Technical Field
本发明涉及风力发电领域,具体涉及一种风电机组运行状态预警阈值的修正方法及系统。The present invention relates to the field of wind power generation, and in particular to a method and system for correcting a warning threshold value of an operating state of a wind turbine set.
背景技术Background Art
风力发电作为清洁能源的重要组成部分,在全球能源结构中占据越来越重要的地位。风力发电设备,特别是风机机组,其安全运行直接关系到能源生产的稳定性和可靠性。由于风机机组通常设置在开阔的户外环境中,风机机组在运行过程中,受环境、负荷及自身状态等多种因素影响,运行状态会发生变化。As an important component of clean energy, wind power generation occupies an increasingly important position in the global energy structure. The safe operation of wind power generation equipment, especially wind turbines, is directly related to the stability and reliability of energy production. Since wind turbines are usually set up in open outdoor environments, the operating status of wind turbines will change during operation due to the influence of various factors such as the environment, load and its own status.
现有技术中,通常设定固定的预警阈值进行监控。传统的风机机组运行监测技术主要基于固定的阈值设定进行故障检测与预警。但由于风机机组运行环境复杂多变,固定阈值难以适应各种工况,导致传统方法存在固定阈值不适应性弱、特征提取困难以及实时性要求高的问题,固定阈值难以适应风机机组在不同运行状态下的特征变化,容易导致误报或漏报,从而影响风机机组的安全运行。In the prior art, a fixed warning threshold is usually set for monitoring. Traditional wind turbine unit operation monitoring technology is mainly based on fixed threshold settings for fault detection and warning. However, due to the complex and changeable operating environment of the wind turbine unit, the fixed threshold is difficult to adapt to various working conditions, resulting in the traditional method having the problems of weak fixed threshold adaptability, difficulty in feature extraction, and high real-time requirements. The fixed threshold is difficult to adapt to the feature changes of the wind turbine unit under different operating conditions, which is easy to cause false alarms or missed alarms, thereby affecting the safe operation of the wind turbine unit.
因此,需要一种能够动态调整预警阈值的方法及系统,以提高预警的准确性和可靠性。Therefore, a method and system are needed to dynamically adjust the warning threshold to improve the accuracy and reliability of the warning.
发明内容Summary of the invention
有鉴于此,针对上述问题,本发明提出了一种风电机组运行状态预警阈值的修正方法及系统,能够根据风机机组的实际运行状态和环境条件,动态调整预警阈值,提高预警的准确性和及时性,保证风机机组的安全运行。In view of this, in order to solve the above problems, the present invention proposes a method and system for correcting the warning threshold of the operating status of a wind turbine set, which can dynamically adjust the warning threshold according to the actual operating status and environmental conditions of the wind turbine set, thereby improving the accuracy and timeliness of the warning and ensuring the safe operation of the wind turbine set.
本发明采用以下技术方案实现:The present invention is implemented by the following technical solutions:
第一方面,本发明提供了一种风电机组运行状态预警阈值的修正方法,该方法包括以下步骤:In a first aspect, the present invention provides a method for correcting a warning threshold value of an operating state of a wind turbine generator set, the method comprising the following steps:
使用传感器实时采集风机机组的运行数据,形成时间序列数据;Use sensors to collect the operating data of the fan unit in real time to form time series data;
对采集到的时间序列数据进行突变检测,计算累积和序列,基于历史数据和已知状态动态调整预警阈值,将超过阈值的点标记为异常点,并记录每个异常点的位置、幅度和持续时间;Perform mutation detection on the collected time series data, calculate the cumulative sum sequence, dynamically adjust the warning threshold based on historical data and known status, mark the points exceeding the threshold as abnormal points, and record the location, amplitude and duration of each abnormal point;
从风机机组的历史运行数据中提取以异常点为起点的时间序列特征、频域特征和统计特征;并计算每个异常点的突变幅度和持续时间,使用快速傅里叶变换对异常点周围的数据进行频率分析,提取频率成分;Extract the time series features, frequency domain features and statistical features starting from the abnormal point from the historical operation data of the wind turbine unit; calculate the mutation amplitude and duration of each abnormal point, use fast Fourier transform to perform frequency analysis on the data around the abnormal point, and extract the frequency components;
将提取的特征作为输入,训练故障预测模型,学习特征与风机运行状态之间的关系,使用训练后的模型对风机机组的运行状态进行预测和评估,识别出预测结果;The extracted features are used as input to train the fault prediction model, learn the relationship between the features and the operating status of the fan, use the trained model to predict and evaluate the operating status of the fan unit, and identify the prediction results;
基于异常点的突变幅度、持续时间和频率成分的关键特征参数,以及故障预测模型输出的预测结果,生成预警信号。An early warning signal is generated based on the key characteristic parameters of the abnormal point's mutation amplitude, duration and frequency component, as well as the prediction results output by the fault prediction model.
作为本发明的进一步方案,对采集到的时间序列数据进行突变检测,计算累积和序列时,包括以下步骤:As a further solution of the present invention, performing mutation detection on the collected time series data and calculating the cumulative sum sequence includes the following steps:
获取采集的时间序列数据,基于累积和计算时间序列数据的均值和标准差;Get the collected time series data, and calculate the mean and standard deviation of the time series data based on the accumulation;
选择一个预设的突变阈值,使用累积和公式计算累积和序列;Select a preset mutation threshold and use the cumulative sum formula to calculate the cumulative sum sequence;
判断累积和是否超过突变阈值,以确定是否存在异常点;其中:Determine whether the cumulative sum exceeds the mutation threshold to determine whether there is an abnormal point; where:
时间序列数据,其中,为运行数据的数据点数量;Time Series Data ,in, is the number of data points for the run data;
预设的突变阈值为;累积和计算式为:The preset mutation threshold is ; The cumulative sum calculation formula is:
; ;
式中,,是调整因子,取;表示时间序列数据的均值;表示当前时刻i的累积和;表示前一个时刻的累积和;In the formula, , is the adjustment factor, ; Represents the mean of time series data; represents the cumulative sum at the current moment i; Represents the cumulative sum of the previous moment;
当时,发生突变,记录异常点,并记录异常点的索引和对应值。when When a mutation occurs, record the abnormal point , and record the index and corresponding value of the abnormal point.
作为本发明的进一步方案,动态调整预警阈值时,收集的历史数据中包括正常状态和异常状态的数据,计算历史数据均值和标准差的统计特征,初始阈值设置为均值加上k倍标准差,根据实时数据流的变化按周期重新计算均值和标准差,并调整阈值;在计算新阈值时,使用滑动窗口,计算最接近的N个数据点的均值和标准差,更新阈值;其中,k倍标准差中k为常数,取值为2或3。As a further solution of the present invention, when dynamically adjusting the warning threshold, the collected historical data includes data in normal state and abnormal state, and the statistical characteristics of the mean and standard deviation of the historical data are calculated. The initial threshold is set to the mean plus k times the standard deviation. The mean and standard deviation are recalculated periodically according to the changes in the real-time data stream, and the threshold is adjusted; when calculating the new threshold, a sliding window is used to calculate the mean and standard deviation of the closest N data points, and the threshold is updated; wherein k in k times the standard deviation is a constant, and the value is 2 or 3.
作为本发明的进一步方案,将超过阈值的点标记为异常点,并记录每个异常点的位置、幅度和持续时间,包括:设置列表作为数据结构存储异常点信息,计算异常点信息,其中,存储的异常点信息包括位置、幅度和持续时间;当检测到异常点时,记位置、幅度和持续时间,其中,位置为异常点的当前时间戳,幅度为超出阈值的程度,由当前数据点和当前阈值之差所得;持续时间为异常状态持续的时间,若后续数据点仍在异常状态,持续记录多个异常点的状态并更新持续时间。As a further solution of the present invention, points exceeding the threshold are marked as abnormal points, and the position, amplitude and duration of each abnormal point are recorded, including: setting a list as a data structure to store abnormal point information, calculating the abnormal point information, wherein the stored abnormal point information includes the position, amplitude and duration; when an abnormal point is detected, the position, amplitude and duration are recorded, wherein the position is the current timestamp of the abnormal point, and the amplitude is the degree of exceeding the threshold, which is obtained by the difference between the current data point and the current threshold; the duration is the duration of the abnormal state, and if the subsequent data points are still in the abnormal state, the states of multiple abnormal points are continuously recorded and the duration is updated.
作为本发明的进一步方案,提取以异常点为起点的时间序列特征、频域特征和统计特征,其中,时间序列特征提取时,以异常点为起点提取预设时间窗口内的振动数据,基于振动数据的时间序列特征计算均值、方差和均方根;频域特征提取时,对提取的时间序列数据进行快速傅里叶变换来获取频域特征的频域数据和频谱密度,统计特征提取时,基于提取的时间序列和频域特征计算得到统计特征。As a further solution of the present invention, time series features, frequency domain features and statistical features are extracted with the abnormal point as the starting point. When extracting the time series features, the vibration data within the preset time window is extracted with the abnormal point as the starting point, and the mean, variance and root mean square are calculated based on the time series features of the vibration data; when extracting the frequency domain features, the extracted time series data is subjected to a fast Fourier transform to obtain the frequency domain data and spectrum density of the frequency domain features; when extracting the statistical features, the statistical features are calculated based on the extracted time series and frequency domain features.
作为本发明的进一步方案,计算每个异常点的突变幅度和持续时间时,根据找到的异常点,通过选择窗口确定异常点前后的若干个数据点,计算均值和突变幅度,并异常点在数据中超出某个阈值的时间段计算持续时间,其中,根据设定的突变幅度的阈值,从异常点向前和向后检查数据点,直到数据点恢复到阈值以下,计算异常点出现的时间到数据恢复到阈值以下的时间的时间差;As a further solution of the present invention, when calculating the mutation amplitude and duration of each abnormal point, according to the abnormal point found, a number of data points before and after the abnormal point are determined by selecting a window, and the mean and mutation amplitude are calculated, and the duration is calculated for the time period when the abnormal point exceeds a certain threshold in the data, wherein, according to the set threshold of the mutation amplitude, the data points are checked forward and backward from the abnormal point until the data point recovers below the threshold, and the time difference from the time when the abnormal point appears to the time when the data recovers below the threshold is calculated;
进行频率分析时,通过选择窗口确定异常点前后的若干个数据点,用快速傅里叶变换计算频率分辨率和频率分量,得到频率成分;When performing frequency analysis, a number of data points before and after the abnormal point are determined by selecting a window, and the frequency resolution and frequency components are calculated using fast Fourier transform to obtain the frequency components;
其中,计算频率分辨率的公式为:;The formula for calculating frequency resolution is: ;
其中,计算频率分量的公式为:;Among them, the formula for calculating the frequency component is: ;
式中,是采样频率,是FFT点数,;In the formula, is the sampling frequency, is the number of FFT points, ;
频率成分表示为:;The frequency components are expressed as: ;
其中,是窗口数据,是频率成分。in, is the window data, is the frequency component.
作为本发明的进一步方案,将提取的特征作为输入,训练故障预测模型,学习特征与风机运行状态之间的关系,包括以下步骤:As a further solution of the present invention, the extracted features are used as input to train a fault prediction model to learn the relationship between the features and the operating status of the wind turbine, including the following steps:
根据收集的风机的运行数据以及提取的以异常点为起点的时间序列特征、频域特征和统计特征,将风机的运行数据标注为正常状态和故障状态;Based on the collected wind turbine operation data and the extracted time series features, frequency domain features and statistical features starting from the abnormal point, the wind turbine operation data is marked as normal state and fault state;
对运行数据进行数据清洗并进行标准化处理后,将运行数据的数据集划分为训练集、验证集和测试集;After data cleaning and standardization of the operating data, the operating data dataset is divided into a training set, a validation set, and a test set;
使用训练集数据对故障预测模型进行训练,选择损失函数,使用验证集进行超参数调优,使用测试集对故障预测模型进行评估,使用训练好的模型对新的风机运行数据进行实时监测并预测,根据故障预测模型的输出判断风机的状态,识别出预测结果。Use the training set data to train the fault prediction model, select the loss function, use the validation set to tune the hyperparameters, use the test set to evaluate the fault prediction model, use the trained model to monitor and predict the new wind turbine operation data in real time, judge the status of the wind turbine based on the output of the fault prediction model, and identify the prediction results.
作为本发明的进一步方案,生成预警信号时,根据识别出的预测结果预测故障概率P,并进行阈值判断,根据预测概率生成预警信号;其中,故障概率P为:;As a further solution of the present invention, when generating a warning signal, the fault probability P is predicted according to the identified prediction result, and a threshold judgment is performed, and a warning signal is generated according to the predicted probability; wherein the fault probability P is: ;
其中,为训练好的故障预测模型,为突变幅度,为持续时间,为频率成分;阈值判断时:;其中,为预设预警阈值。in, is the trained fault prediction model. is the mutation amplitude, is the duration, is the frequency component; when judging the threshold: ;in, The preset warning threshold.
本发明能够有效解决风机机组运行状态监测与预警中存在的适应性差、误报率高等问题,提高预警的准确性和及时性,保障风机机组的安全运行。The present invention can effectively solve the problems of poor adaptability and high false alarm rate in the monitoring and early warning of the operating status of the fan unit, improve the accuracy and timeliness of the early warning, and ensure the safe operation of the fan unit.
第二方面,本发明还包括一种风电机组运行状态预警阈值的修正系统,该系统包括:In a second aspect, the present invention further includes a system for correcting a warning threshold value of an operating state of a wind turbine generator set, the system comprising:
数据采集模块,用于使用传感器实时采集风机机组的运行数据,形成时间序列数据;A data acquisition module is used to use sensors to collect the operating data of the fan unit in real time to form time series data;
异常监测模块,用于对采集到的时间序列数据进行突变检测,计算累积和序列,将超过阈值的点标记为异常点,并记录每个异常点的位置、幅度和持续时间;The anomaly monitoring module is used to perform mutation detection on the collected time series data, calculate the cumulative sum series, mark the points exceeding the threshold as anomalies, and record the location, amplitude and duration of each anomaly point;
特征提取模块,用于从风机机组的历史运行数据中提取以异常点为起点的时间序列特征、频域特征和统计特征;并计算每个异常点的突变幅度和持续时间,使用快速傅里叶变换对异常点周围的数据进行频率分析,提取频率成分;The feature extraction module is used to extract the time series features, frequency domain features and statistical features starting from the abnormal point from the historical operation data of the wind turbine unit; calculate the mutation amplitude and duration of each abnormal point, use fast Fourier transform to perform frequency analysis on the data around the abnormal point, and extract the frequency component;
模型训练模块,用于将提取的特征作为输入,训练故障预测模型,学习特征与风机运行状态之间的关系,使用训练后的模型对风机机组的运行状态进行预测和评估,识别出预测结果;A model training module is used to take the extracted features as input, train the fault prediction model, learn the relationship between the features and the operating status of the fan, use the trained model to predict and evaluate the operating status of the fan unit, and identify the prediction results;
预警模块,用于基于异常点的突变幅度、持续时间和频率成分的关键特征参数,以及故障预测模型输出的预测结果,生成预警信号。The early warning module is used to generate early warning signals based on the key characteristic parameters of the mutation amplitude, duration and frequency component of the abnormal point and the prediction results output by the fault prediction model.
作为本发明的进一步方案,该修正系统还包括阈值调整模块,用于基于历史数据和已知状态动态调整预警阈值。As a further solution of the present invention, the correction system also includes a threshold adjustment module for dynamically adjusting the warning threshold based on historical data and known states.
该修正系统结合了数据分析、特征提取与机器学习模型的优势,具有较高的准确性和实时性。具体实施时,还需根据不同设备和应用场景调整模型参数和算法选择,以提高系统的适应性和效果。The correction system combines the advantages of data analysis, feature extraction and machine learning models, and has high accuracy and real-time performance. During specific implementation, it is also necessary to adjust model parameters and algorithm selection according to different devices and application scenarios to improve the adaptability and effectiveness of the system.
本发明还包括一种计算机设备,包括:至少一个处理器,以及与所述至少一个处理器通信连接的存储器,其中,所述存储器存储有可被所述至少一个处理器执行的指令,所述指令被所述至少一个处理器执行,以使所述至少一个处理器执行所述的风电机组运行状态预警阈值的修正方法。The present invention also includes a computer device, comprising: at least one processor, and a memory communicatively connected to the at least one processor, wherein the memory stores instructions executable by the at least one processor, and the instructions are executed by the at least one processor so that the at least one processor executes the method for correcting the wind turbine operating status warning threshold.
本发明还包括一种计算机可读存储介质,所述计算机可读存储介质存储有计算机指令,所述计算机指令用于使所述计算机执行所述的风电机组运行状态预警阈值的修正方法。The present invention also includes a computer-readable storage medium, wherein the computer-readable storage medium stores computer instructions, and the computer instructions are used to enable the computer to execute the method for correcting the wind turbine operating status warning threshold.
与现有技术相比,本发明提供的风电机组运行状态预警阈值的修正方法及系统,具有以下有益效果:Compared with the prior art, the method and system for correcting the wind turbine operating status warning threshold provided by the present invention have the following beneficial effects:
1.实现了实时监测响应,通过动态调整预警阈值,实现了异常点的精确识别。1. Real-time monitoring response is achieved, and accurate identification of abnormal points is achieved by dynamically adjusting the warning threshold.
通过传感器实时采集风机机组的运行数据,确保能够迅速发现并响应运行状态的异常,提升系统的安全性与可靠性;基于历史数据和已知状态动态调整预警阈值,避免了静态阈值可能导致的误报和漏报现象,使得预警机制更加灵活和精准;利用突变检测及累积和序列分析,准确标记异常点,能够清晰地记录异常发生的位置、幅度和持续时间,为后续分析提供了重要数据支持。Real-time collection of wind turbine operating data through sensors ensures rapid detection and response to operating status anomalies, improving system safety and reliability. Dynamic adjustment of warning thresholds based on historical data and known status avoids false alarms and missed alarms that may be caused by static thresholds, making the warning mechanism more flexible and accurate. Accurately mark abnormal points using mutation detection and cumulative and sequence analysis, and clearly record the location, magnitude and duration of the anomaly, providing important data support for subsequent analysis.
2.通过多维特征提取和频率分析能力,实现智能化故障预测模型的训练和应用。2. Through multi-dimensional feature extraction and frequency analysis capabilities, the training and application of intelligent fault prediction models can be realized.
从异常点出发提取时间序列特征、频域特征和统计特征,提供了丰富的信息基础,有助于全面理解异常行为的特征及其影响因素;通过快速傅里叶变换对异常点周围数据进行频率分析,能够识别潜在的周期性问题,提升故障预测的深度和广度;训练故障预测模型,学习特征与风机运行状态之间的关系,能够在早期阶段预测潜在的故障风险,从而提前采取措施,减少停机时间和维护成本。Extracting time series features, frequency domain features and statistical features from the abnormal points provides a rich information basis, which helps to fully understand the characteristics of abnormal behavior and its influencing factors; performing frequency analysis on the data around the abnormal points through fast Fourier transform can identify potential periodic problems and improve the depth and breadth of fault prediction; training fault prediction models and learning the relationship between features and wind turbine operating status can predict potential fault risks at an early stage, so that measures can be taken in advance to reduce downtime and maintenance costs.
3.实现了预警信号生成,降低了维护成本,提升了风机机组的寿命。3. It realizes the generation of early warning signals, reduces maintenance costs, and increases the life of the fan unit.
通过结合突变幅度、持续时间、频率成分的关键特征参数与预测模型的输出,生成精准的预警信号,帮助管理人员及时做出决策;通过提前识别和预测故障,可以制定更为科学的维护计划,降低因突发故障导致的高昂维护成本,提高风机的运行效率;及时的预警和故障预测能够有效防止因过载或其他异常情况导致的设备损坏,从而延长风机机组的使用寿命。By combining the key characteristic parameters of mutation amplitude, duration, and frequency components with the output of the prediction model, accurate early warning signals are generated to help managers make timely decisions; by identifying and predicting faults in advance, more scientific maintenance plans can be formulated to reduce the high maintenance costs caused by sudden failures and improve the operating efficiency of the fan; timely early warnings and fault predictions can effectively prevent equipment damage caused by overload or other abnormal conditions, thereby extending the service life of the fan unit.
综上所述,本发明风电机组运行状态预警阈值的修正方法及系统,通过实时监测、动态调整、精确识别和智能预测,极大提高了风机机组的运行安全性和维护效率,具有显著的经济和社会效益。In summary, the method and system for correcting the wind turbine operating status warning threshold of the present invention greatly improve the operating safety and maintenance efficiency of the wind turbine unit through real-time monitoring, dynamic adjustment, precise identification and intelligent prediction, and have significant economic and social benefits.
本发明的这些方面或其他方面在以下实施例的描述中会更加简明易懂。应当理解的是,以上的一般描述和后文的细节描述仅是示例性和解释性的,并不能限制本发明。These and other aspects of the present invention will become more concise and understandable in the following description of the embodiments. It should be understood that the above general description and the following detailed description are only exemplary and explanatory and cannot limit the present invention.
附图说明BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS
为了更清楚地说明本发明实施例或相关技术中的技术方案,下面将对示例性实施例或相关技术描述中所需要使用的附图作一简单地介绍,附图用来提供对本发明的进一步理解,并且构成说明书的一部分,与本发明的实施例一起用于解释本发明,并不构成对本发明的限制。在附图中:In order to more clearly illustrate the technical solutions in the embodiments of the present invention or related technologies, the following briefly introduces the drawings required for use in the exemplary embodiments or related technical descriptions. The drawings are used to provide a further understanding of the present invention and constitute a part of the specification. Together with the embodiments of the present invention, they are used to explain the present invention and do not constitute a limitation to the present invention. In the drawings:
图1为本发明实施例的风电机组运行状态预警阈值的修正方法的流程图。FIG1 is a flow chart of a method for correcting a warning threshold value of an operating state of a wind turbine generator system according to an embodiment of the present invention.
图2为本发明实施例的风电机组运行状态预警阈值的修正方法中突变检测的流程图。FIG2 is a flow chart of mutation detection in a method for correcting a warning threshold value of a wind turbine operating state according to an embodiment of the present invention.
图3为本发明实施例的风电机组运行状态预警阈值的修正方法中训练故障预测模型的流程图。FIG3 is a flow chart of training a fault prediction model in a method for correcting a warning threshold value of an operating state of a wind turbine generator system according to an embodiment of the present invention.
具体实施方式DETAILED DESCRIPTION
为了使本发明的目的、技术方案及优点更加清楚明白,以下结合附图及实施例,对本发明进行进一步详细说明。应当理解,此处所描述的具体实施例仅用以解释本发明,并不用于限定本发明。In order to make the purpose, technical solution and advantages of the present invention more clearly understood, the present invention is further described in detail below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings and embodiments. It should be understood that the specific embodiments described herein are only used to explain the present invention and are not used to limit the present invention.
在本发明的说明书和权利要求书及上述附图中的描述的一些流程中,包含了按照特定顺序出现的多个操作,但是应该清楚了解,这些操作可以不按照其在本文中出现的顺序来执行或并行执行,操作的序号如101、102等,仅仅是用于区分开各个不同的操作,序号本身不代表任何的执行顺序。另外,这些流程可以包括更多或更少的操作,并且这些操作可以按顺序执行或并行执行。需要说明的是,本文中的“第一”、“第二”等描述,是用于区分不同的消息、设备、模块等,不代表先后顺序,也不限定“第一”和“第二”是不同的类型。In some of the processes described in the specification and claims of the present invention and the above-mentioned figures, multiple operations that appear in a specific order are included, but it should be clearly understood that these operations may not be executed in the order in which they appear in this article or executed in parallel. The serial numbers of the operations, such as 101, 102, etc., are only used to distinguish between different operations, and the serial numbers themselves do not represent any execution order. In addition, these processes may include more or fewer operations, and these operations may be executed in sequence or in parallel. It should be noted that the descriptions of "first", "second", etc. in this article are used to distinguish different messages, devices, modules, etc., do not represent the order of precedence, and do not limit the "first" and "second" to be different types.
下面将结合本发明示例性实施例中的附图,对本发明示例性实施例中的技术方案进行清楚、完整地描述,显然,所描述的示例性实施例仅仅是本发明一部分实施例,而不是全部的实施例。基于本发明中的实施例,本领域技术人员在没有作出创造性劳动前提下所获得的所有其他实施例,都属于本发明保护的范围。The following will be combined with the drawings in the exemplary embodiments of the present invention to clearly and completely describe the technical solutions in the exemplary embodiments of the present invention. Obviously, the described exemplary embodiments are only part of the embodiments of the present invention, not all of the embodiments. Based on the embodiments of the present invention, all other embodiments obtained by those skilled in the art without creative work are within the scope of protection of the present invention.
由于传统的风机机组运行监测技术主要基于固定的阈值设定进行故障检测与预警,风机机组运行环境复杂多变,固定阈值难以适应各种工况,导致传统方法存在固定阈值不适应性弱、特征提取困难以及实时性要求高的问题,固定阈值难以适应风机机组在不同运行状态下的特征变化,容易导致误报或漏报,从而影响风机机组的安全运行。为了解决该问题,本发明提供的一种风电机组运行状态预警阈值的修正方法及系统,能够根据风机机组的实际运行状态和环境条件,动态调整预警阈值,提高预警的准确性和及时性,保证风机机组的安全运行。Since the traditional wind turbine operation monitoring technology is mainly based on fixed threshold settings for fault detection and early warning, the wind turbine operation environment is complex and changeable, and the fixed threshold is difficult to adapt to various working conditions, resulting in the traditional method having the problems of weak fixed threshold adaptability, difficulty in feature extraction, and high real-time requirements. The fixed threshold is difficult to adapt to the feature changes of the wind turbine unit under different operating conditions, which easily leads to false alarms or missed alarms, thereby affecting the safe operation of the wind turbine unit. In order to solve this problem, the present invention provides a method and system for correcting the warning threshold of the wind turbine operation state, which can dynamically adjust the warning threshold according to the actual operating state and environmental conditions of the wind turbine unit, improve the accuracy and timeliness of the warning, and ensure the safe operation of the wind turbine unit.
下面结合具体实施例对本发明的技术方案作进一步的说明:The technical solution of the present invention is further described below in conjunction with specific embodiments:
参阅图1所示,图1为本发明提供的一种风电机组运行状态预警阈值的修正方法的流程图。本发明一个实施例中提供的一种风电机组运行状态预警阈值的修正方法,包括以下步骤:Referring to FIG. 1 , FIG. 1 is a flow chart of a method for correcting a wind turbine operating status warning threshold provided by the present invention. A method for correcting a wind turbine operating status warning threshold provided in one embodiment of the present invention comprises the following steps:
步骤S10、使用传感器实时采集风机机组的运行数据,形成时间序列数据。Step S10: Use sensors to collect operating data of the fan unit in real time to form time series data.
该步骤中,通过安装在风机机组上的多种传感器,实时获取风机机组的运行数据。这些数据将被整理成时间序列,以便后续的分析和处理。其中,获取的风机机组的运行数据包括但不限于:In this step, the operation data of the fan unit is obtained in real time through various sensors installed on the fan unit. These data will be sorted into time series for subsequent analysis and processing. The operation data of the fan unit obtained includes but is not limited to:
1.机械参数;1. Mechanical parameters;
转速(RPM):风机转子的实际转速,提供风机运行状态的直接指标。Speed (RPM): The actual speed of the fan rotor, providing a direct indicator of the fan's operating status.
扭矩(Nm):转子产生的扭矩,反映风机负载情况。Torque (Nm): The torque generated by the rotor, reflecting the load condition of the fan.
振动(mm/s):监测风机各部件的振动水平,以识别潜在的机械故障。Vibration (mm/s): Monitors the vibration levels of various wind turbine components to identify potential mechanical failures.
2.环境参数;2. Environmental parameters;
风速(m/s):风机周围的风速数据,影响风机的发电效率和负载。Wind speed (m/s): Wind speed data around the wind turbine, which affects the power generation efficiency and load of the wind turbine.
风向(°):风的方向,帮助判断风机的最佳工作状态。Wind direction (°): The direction of the wind, which helps determine the optimal working condition of the fan.
温度(℃):风机机组内部和外部的温度,影响设备的运行状态和效率。Temperature (℃): The temperature inside and outside the fan unit affects the operating status and efficiency of the equipment.
3.电气参数;3. Electrical parameters;
功率输出(kW):风机发电的实际功率,反映风机的工作状态和效率。Power output (kW): The actual power generated by the wind turbine, reflecting the working status and efficiency of the wind turbine.
电压(V):风机电机的输入和输出电压,监测电气系统的稳定性。Voltage (V): Input and output voltage of the fan motor, monitors the stability of the electrical system.
电流(A):电机的输入电流,帮助识别电气故障或负载过重。Current (A): The input current of the motor, which helps identify electrical faults or excessive loads.
4.液压与润滑参数;4. Hydraulic and lubrication parameters;
油温(℃):润滑油的温度,影响设备的润滑效果和运行安全。Oil temperature (℃): The temperature of the lubricating oil affects the lubrication effect and operation safety of the equipment.
油压(bar):润滑系统的压力,确保各运动部件正常润滑。Oil pressure (bar): The pressure of the lubrication system, ensuring normal lubrication of all moving parts.
液位(mm):油箱和液压系统的液位,避免因液压不足导致的故障。Liquid level (mm): Liquid level in the oil tank and hydraulic system to avoid malfunctions due to insufficient hydraulic pressure.
5.状态监测数据;5. Condition monitoring data;
故障码:由风机控制系统生成的故障警告和诊断信息。Fault Codes: Fault warnings and diagnostic information generated by the fan control system.
运行时间(小时):风机的累计运行时间,有助于设备的维护和管理。Running time (hours): The cumulative running time of the fan, which helps with the maintenance and management of the equipment.
6.安全监测数据;6. Safety monitoring data;
过载保护状态:监测风机是否进入过载状态,确保安全运行。Overload protection status: monitor whether the fan enters the overload state to ensure safe operation.
紧急停机信号:在发生极端情况时,记录紧急停机的时间和原因。Emergency stop signal: In the event of an extreme situation, record the time and reason of the emergency stop.
该步骤通过上述传感器收集的多维度运行数据,可以形成全面的时间序列数据集。这些数据不仅能够实时反映风机机组的运行状态,还能为后续的异常检测、故障预测和维护决策提供基础。通过对这些数据的分析,可以及时发现潜在问题,优化风机的运行效率,并最大限度地降低故障发生的风险。This step can form a comprehensive time series data set through the multi-dimensional operation data collected by the above sensors. These data can not only reflect the operating status of the wind turbine unit in real time, but also provide a basis for subsequent abnormal detection, fault prediction and maintenance decisions. By analyzing these data, potential problems can be discovered in time, the operating efficiency of the wind turbine can be optimized, and the risk of failure can be minimized.
步骤S20、对采集到的时间序列数据进行突变检测,计算累积和序列,基于历史数据和已知状态动态调整预警阈值,将超过阈值的点标记为异常点,并记录每个异常点的位置、幅度和持续时间。Step S20: perform mutation detection on the collected time series data, calculate the cumulative sum sequence, dynamically adjust the warning threshold based on historical data and known status, mark the points exceeding the threshold as abnormal points, and record the position, amplitude and duration of each abnormal point.
在该步骤中,参见图2所示,对采集到的时间序列数据进行突变检测,计算累积和序列时,包括以下步骤:In this step, as shown in FIG2 , mutation detection is performed on the collected time series data, and the calculation of the cumulative sum sequence includes the following steps:
步骤S201、获取采集的时间序列数据,基于累积和计算时间序列数据的均值和标准差;Step S201, obtaining the collected time series data, and calculating the mean and standard deviation of the time series data based on the accumulation;
步骤S202、选择一个预设的突变阈值,使用累积和公式计算累积和序列;Step S202: Select a preset mutation threshold and use the cumulative sum formula to calculate the cumulative sum sequence;
步骤S203、判断累积和是否超过突变阈值,以确定是否存在异常点;其中:Step S203: determine whether the cumulative sum exceeds the mutation threshold to determine whether there is an abnormal point; wherein:
时间序列数据,其中,为运行数据的数据点数量;Time Series Data ,in, is the number of data points for the run data;
预设的突变阈值为;累积和计算式为:The preset mutation threshold is ; The cumulative sum calculation formula is:
; ;
式中,,是调整因子,取;是时间序列数据的均值,即在进行突变检测之前计算的样本均值,用于衡量数据的基线水平,的作用是作为一个参考点,与当前时刻观测值的差值来判断是否出现了突变;In the formula, , is the adjustment factor, ; is the mean of the time series data, that is, the sample mean calculated before mutation detection, which is used to measure the baseline level of the data. The role is to serve as a reference point and the current observation value The difference between the two is used to determine whether a mutation has occurred;
具体的:Specific:
是当前时刻的累积和;是前一个时刻的累积和;是当前时刻的观测值,来自于时间序列数据的数据点;是时间序列数据的均值;是调整因子,,用于控制检测的灵敏度;是预设的突变阈值;通过比较与的差值,检测到数据点是否显著偏离均值,从而识别出潜在的突变点; is the cumulative sum of the current moment; It is the cumulative sum of the previous moment; is the observation value at the current moment, which comes from the data point of the time series data; is the mean of the time series data; is the adjustment factor, , used to control the sensitivity of detection; is the preset mutation threshold; by comparing and The difference between Whether it deviates significantly from the mean, thereby identifying potential mutation points;
当时,发生突变,记录异常点,并记录异常点的索引和对应值。when When a mutation occurs, record the abnormal point , and record the index and corresponding value of the abnormal point.
其中,基于累积和计算时间序列数据的均值的计算公式分别为:Among them, the mean of the time series data is calculated based on the cumulative sum The calculation formulas are:
; ;
基于累积和计算时间序列数据的标准差的计算公式分别为:Calculating the standard deviation of time series data based on cumulative sums The calculation formulas are:
。 .
在该步骤中,动态调整预警阈值时,收集的历史数据中包括正常状态和异常状态的数据,计算历史数据均值和标准差的统计特征,初始阈值设置为均值加上k倍标准差,根据实时数据流的变化按周期重新计算均值和标准差,并调整阈值;在计算新阈值时,使用滑动窗口,计算最接近的N个数据点的均值和标准差,更新阈值;其中,k倍标准差中k为常数,取值为2或3。In this step, when dynamically adjusting the warning threshold, the collected historical data includes data in normal and abnormal states, and the statistical characteristics of the mean and standard deviation of the historical data are calculated. The initial threshold is set to the mean plus k times the standard deviation. The mean and standard deviation are recalculated periodically according to the changes in the real-time data stream, and the threshold is adjusted; when calculating the new threshold, a sliding window is used to calculate the mean and standard deviation of the closest N data points, and the threshold is updated; where k in k times the standard deviation is a constant, and the value is 2 or 3.
则,更新阈值=。Then, update threshold = .
其中,将超过阈值的点标记为异常点,并记录每个异常点的位置、幅度和持续时间时,包括:设置列表作为数据结构存储异常点信息,计算异常点信息,其中,存储的异常点信息包括位置、幅度和持续时间;当检测到异常点时,记位置、幅度和持续时间,其中,位置为异常点的当前时间戳,幅度为超出阈值的程度,由当前数据点和当前阈值之差所得;持续时间为异常状态持续的时间,若后续数据点仍在异常状态,持续记录多个异常点的状态并更新持续时间。Among them, when marking the points exceeding the threshold as abnormal points and recording the position, amplitude and duration of each abnormal point, it includes: setting a list as a data structure to store abnormal point information, calculating the abnormal point information, wherein the stored abnormal point information includes position, amplitude and duration; when an abnormal point is detected, the position, amplitude and duration are recorded, wherein the position is the current timestamp of the abnormal point, and the amplitude is the degree of exceeding the threshold, which is obtained by the difference between the current data point and the current threshold; the duration is the duration of the abnormal state, if the subsequent data points are still in the abnormal state, the status of multiple abnormal points is continuously recorded and the duration is updated.
示例性的,假设有一组历史数据:[10, 12, 11, 14, 15, 20, 30, 25, 12];For example, suppose there is a set of historical data: [10, 12, 11, 14, 15, 20, 30, 25, 12];
计算均值和标准差:Calculate the mean and standard deviation:
均值:μ = 17;Mean: μ = 17;
标准差:σ ≈ 6.4(取k=2,阈值=17+2*6.4 = 29.8);Standard deviation: σ ≈ 6.4 (take k=2, threshold=17+2*6.4 = 29.8);
实时数据流入:[28, 31, 27, 26, 32, 29];Real-time data inflow: [28, 31, 27, 26, 32, 29];
记录异常点:Record abnormal points:
数据31:超出阈值,位置=1,幅度=31-29.8=1.2,持续时间=1;Data 31: exceeded threshold, position = 1, amplitude = 31-29.8 = 1.2, duration = 1;
数据32:超出阈值,位置=4,幅度=32-29.8=2.2,持续时间=1(持续更新)。Data 32: Exceeding threshold, position = 4, amplitude = 32-29.8 = 2.2, duration = 1 (continuously updated).
通过以上详细步骤,设有数据结构用于存储异常点信息,包括异常点的位置、幅度和持续时间,并能够在异常状态解除后,更新持续时间,能够根据不同应用场景的需求,灵活调整k值,以适应不同的异常检测灵敏度。Through the above detailed steps, a data structure is provided for storing abnormal point information, including the location, amplitude and duration of the abnormal point, and the duration can be updated after the abnormal state is resolved. The k value can be flexibly adjusted according to the needs of different application scenarios to adapt to different abnormality detection sensitivities.
示例性的,假设有以下历史数据记录(单位为某传感器的读数):For example, assume that there are the following historical data records (the unit is the reading of a certain sensor):
10,12,11,14,15,20,30,25,12;10,12,11,14,15,20,30,25,12;
计算初始均值和标准差:Compute the initial mean and standard deviation:
(1)均值:μ=(10+12+11+14+15+20+30+25+12)/9≈17;(1) Mean: μ = (10 + 12 + 11 + 14 + 15 + 20 + 30 + 25 + 12) / 9 ≈ 17;
标准差:;Standard Deviation: ;
其中,n=9,为10,12,11,14,15,20,30,25,12;Where n=9, 10, 12, 11, 14, 15, 20, 30, 25, 12;
初始阈值(设k=2):阈值=17+2×6.4=29.8;Initial threshold (set k=2): threshold=17+2×6.4=29.8;
实时数据流入(新数据):28,31,27,26,32,29;Real-time data inflow (new data): 28, 31, 27, 26, 32, 29;
监测过程:Monitoring process:
数据28:不超出阈值;Data 28: does not exceed the threshold;
数据31:超出阈值,记录异常点,位置:1,幅度:1.2,持续时间:1;Data 31: exceeds the threshold, records the abnormal point, position: 1, amplitude: 1.2, duration: 1;
数据27:不超出阈值;Data 27: does not exceed the threshold;
数据26:不超出阈值;Data 26: does not exceed the threshold;
数据32:超出阈值,记录异常点,位置:4,幅度:2.2,持续时间:1;Data 32: exceeds the threshold, records abnormal points, position: 4, amplitude: 2.2, duration: 1;
数据29:不超出阈值;Data 29: does not exceed the threshold;
更新阈值(设定新的滑动窗口为最近5个数据点):Update the threshold (set the new sliding window to the last 5 data points):
新数据窗口为:31,27,26,32,29;The new data windows are: 31, 27, 26, 32, 29;
计算新的均值和标准差:;;Compute the new mean and standard deviation: ; ;
新阈值=29+2×2.5=34。New threshold = 29 + 2 × 2.5 = 34.
通过上述步骤,能够实现对数据流的动态监测和实时调整预警阈值,有效识别异常点并进行标记。这个方法不仅提高了监测的灵敏度,还能适应环境的变化,确保及时响应潜在的异常情况。上述权利要求为后续可能的技术专利提供了框架,确保这个方法的独特性和应用价值。Through the above steps, it is possible to dynamically monitor the data stream and adjust the warning threshold in real time, effectively identify and mark abnormal points. This method not only improves the sensitivity of monitoring, but also adapts to environmental changes and ensures timely response to potential abnormal situations. The above claims provide a framework for possible subsequent technical patents, ensuring the uniqueness and application value of this method.
步骤S30、从风机机组的历史运行数据中提取以异常点为起点的时间序列特征、频域特征和统计特征;并计算每个异常点的突变幅度和持续时间,使用快速傅里叶变换对异常点周围的数据进行频率分析,提取频率成分。Step S30, extracting time series features, frequency domain features and statistical features with the abnormal point as the starting point from the historical operation data of the wind turbine unit; and calculating the mutation amplitude and duration of each abnormal point, using fast Fourier transform to perform frequency analysis on the data around the abnormal point, and extracting the frequency component.
在该步骤中,提取以异常点为起点的时间序列特征、频域特征和统计特征,其中,时间序列特征提取时,以异常点为起点提取预设时间窗口(例如,前后10分钟)内的振动数据,基于振动数据的时间序列特征计算均值、方差和均方根;频域特征提取时,对提取的时间序列数据进行快速傅里叶变换来获取频域特征的频域数据和频谱密度,统计特征提取时,基于提取的时间序列和频域特征计算得到统计特征。In this step, time series features, frequency domain features and statistical features are extracted with the abnormal point as the starting point. When extracting time series features, vibration data within a preset time window (for example, 10 minutes before and after) is extracted with the abnormal point as the starting point, and the mean, variance and root mean square are calculated based on the time series features of the vibration data. When extracting frequency domain features, fast Fourier transform is performed on the extracted time series data to obtain the frequency domain data and spectrum density of the frequency domain features. When extracting statistical features, statistical features are calculated based on the extracted time series and frequency domain features.
其中,计算每个异常点的突变幅度和持续时间时,根据找到的异常点,通过选择窗口确定异常点前后的若干个数据点,计算均值和突变幅度,并异常点在数据中超出某个阈值的时间段计算持续时间,其中,根据设定的突变幅度的阈值,从异常点向前和向后检查数据点,直到数据点恢复到阈值以下,计算异常点出现的时间到数据恢复到阈值以下的时间的时间差;When calculating the mutation amplitude and duration of each abnormal point, according to the abnormal point found, a number of data points before and after the abnormal point are determined by selecting a window, and the mean and mutation amplitude are calculated. The duration is calculated for the time period when the abnormal point exceeds a certain threshold in the data, wherein, according to the set threshold of the mutation amplitude, the data points are checked forward and backward from the abnormal point until the data point recovers below the threshold, and the time difference from the time when the abnormal point appears to the time when the data recovers below the threshold is calculated;
进行频率分析时,通过选择窗口确定异常点前后的若干个数据点,用快速傅里叶变换计算频率分辨率和频率分量,得到频率成分;When performing frequency analysis, a number of data points before and after the abnormal point are determined by selecting a window, and the frequency resolution and frequency components are calculated using fast Fourier transform to obtain the frequency components;
其中,计算频率分辨率的公式为:;The formula for calculating frequency resolution is: ;
其中,计算频率分量的公式为:;Among them, the formula for calculating the frequency component is: ;
式中,是采样频率,是FFT点数,;In the formula, is the sampling frequency, is the number of FFT points, ;
频率成分表示为:;The frequency components are expressed as: ;
其中,是窗口数据,是频率成分。in, is the window data, is the frequency component.
示例性的,假设本申请有以下风机机组的振动数据(单位:mm/s),并且本申请在时间戳T0周围检测到一个异常点;Exemplarily, assume that the present application has the following vibration data of a wind turbine unit (unit: mm/s), and the present application detects an abnormal point around timestamp T0;
; ;
那么,时间序列特征中,均值为0.585,方差为0.065。频域特征中,经过FFT计算后,本申请得到的频域数据(幅度谱)为:Then, in the time series feature, the mean is 0.585 and the variance is 0.065. In the frequency domain feature, after FFT calculation, the frequency domain data (amplitude spectrum) obtained by this application is:
; ;
; ;
;←主频; ←main frequency;
主频的PSD计算为:The PSD of the main frequency is calculated as:
; ;
使用FFT计算得到的主频是1Hz,频谱密度的峰值为0.25;The main frequency calculated using FFT is 1 Hz, and the peak value of the spectrum density is 0.25;
排序数据为:0.4,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.7,1.5;The sorting data is: 0.4, 0.5, 0.5, 0.5, 0.5, 0.6, 0.6, 0.6, 0.7, 1.5;
统计特征约为1.5。The statistical characteristic is about 1.5.
通过以上步骤,能够从风机机组的历史运行数据中提取出相关的特征,包括时间序列特征、频域特征和统计特征,可以用于后续的异常检测、故障诊断和预测维护等任务。Through the above steps, relevant features can be extracted from the historical operation data of the wind turbine unit, including time series features, frequency domain features and statistical features, which can be used for subsequent tasks such as anomaly detection, fault diagnosis and predictive maintenance.
要计算每个异常点的突变幅度和持续时间,并使用快速傅里叶变换(FFT)对异常点周围的数据进行频率分析时,示例性的,选择的窗口数据为[6,30,2,3],进行FFT分析:To calculate the mutation amplitude and duration of each outlier point, and use fast Fourier transform (FFT) to perform frequency analysis on the data around the outlier point, for example, the selected window data is [6,30,2,3], and FFT analysis is performed:
(1)窗口数据:x[n]=[6,30,2,3];(1) Window data: x[n]=[6,30,2,3];
(2)应用FFT:计算FFT并得到频域表示X(f)。(2) Apply FFT: Calculate FFT and obtain the frequency domain representation X(f).
(3)频率分辨率:(3) Frequency resolution:
假设采样频率fs=1Hz,窗口大小N=4,则:Assuming the sampling frequency fs=1Hz and the window size N=4, then:
Δf=fs/N=1/4=0.25Hz;Δf=fs/N=1/4=0.25Hz;
(4)频率分量:(4) Frequency component:
计算得到的频率分量为:The calculated frequency components are:
f0=0,f1=0.25,f2=0.5,f3=0.75Hz;f0=0,f1=0.25,f2=0.5,f3=0.75Hz;
(5)结果分析:通过分析频率成分,可以识别出在异常点附近潜在的周期性行为。(5) Result analysis: By analyzing the frequency components, potential periodic behaviors near the anomaly points can be identified.
通过以上步骤,可以系统地分析数据中的异常点,计算其突变幅度和持续时间,并通过FFT提取相关频率成分。这种方法对于时序数据的异常检测和特征分析非常有效,适用于多个领域如金融监测、环境监测、医疗数据分析等。Through the above steps, we can systematically analyze the abnormal points in the data, calculate their mutation amplitude and duration, and extract the relevant frequency components through FFT. This method is very effective for anomaly detection and feature analysis of time series data, and is applicable to many fields such as financial monitoring, environmental monitoring, medical data analysis, etc.
步骤S40、将提取的特征作为输入,训练故障预测模型,学习特征与风机运行状态之间的关系,使用训练后的模型对风机机组的运行状态进行预测和评估,识别出预测结果。Step S40: Use the extracted features as input to train a fault prediction model, learn the relationship between the features and the operating status of the wind turbine, use the trained model to predict and evaluate the operating status of the wind turbine unit, and identify the prediction results.
该步骤中,参见图3所示,将提取的特征作为输入,训练故障预测模型,学习特征与风机运行状态之间的关系,包括以下步骤:In this step, as shown in FIG3 , the extracted features are used as input to train the fault prediction model, and the relationship between the features and the wind turbine operating status is learned, including the following steps:
步骤S401、根据收集的风机的运行数据以及提取的以异常点为起点的时间序列特征、频域特征和统计特征,将风机的运行数据标注为正常状态和故障状态;Step S401: marking the operation data of the wind turbine as a normal state and a fault state according to the collected operation data of the wind turbine and the extracted time series features, frequency domain features and statistical features with the abnormal point as the starting point;
步骤S402、对运行数据进行数据清洗并进行标准化处理后,将运行数据的数据集划分为训练集、验证集和测试集(70%训练集,15%验证集,15%测试集);Step S402: After data cleaning and standardization of the operation data, the data set of the operation data is divided into a training set, a validation set and a test set (70% training set, 15% validation set, and 15% test set);
步骤S403、使用训练集数据对故障预测模型进行训练,选择损失函数,使用验证集进行超参数调优,使用测试集对故障预测模型进行评估,使用训练好的模型对新的风机运行数据进行实时监测并预测,根据故障预测模型的输出判断风机的状态,识别出预测结果。Step S403: Use the training set data to train the fault prediction model, select the loss function, use the validation set to tune the hyperparameters, use the test set to evaluate the fault prediction model, use the trained model to monitor and predict the new wind turbine operation data in real time, judge the status of the wind turbine according to the output of the fault prediction model, and identify the prediction result.
通过以上步骤,可以系统地构建一个风机故障预测模型,利用提取的特征学习风机运行状态与故障之间的关系,从而在实际应用中实现实时监测和故障预警。这种方法可以显著提高风机的运行效率和安全性,减少维护成本。Through the above steps, a fan fault prediction model can be systematically constructed, and the relationship between the fan operating status and faults can be learned by using the extracted features, so as to realize real-time monitoring and fault warning in practical applications. This method can significantly improve the operating efficiency and safety of the fan and reduce maintenance costs.
步骤S50、基于异常点的突变幅度、持续时间和频率成分的关键特征参数,以及故障预测模型输出的预测结果,生成预警信号。Step S50: Generate a warning signal based on the key characteristic parameters of the mutation amplitude, duration and frequency component of the abnormal point and the prediction result output by the fault prediction model.
该步骤中,生成预警信号时,根据识别出的预测结果预测故障概率P,并进行阈值判断,根据预测概率生成预警信号;其中,故障概率P为:In this step, when generating a warning signal, the fault probability P is predicted based on the identified prediction results, and a threshold judgment is performed to generate a warning signal based on the predicted probability; wherein the fault probability P is:
; ;
其中,为训练好的故障预测模型,为突变幅度,为持续时间,为频率成分;阈值判断时:;其中,为预设预警阈值。in, is the trained fault prediction model. is the mutation amplitude, is the duration, is the frequency component; when judging the threshold: ;in, The preset warning threshold.
其中,假设本申请在某设备上收集到的传感器数据如下:It is assumed that the sensor data collected by this application on a certain device is as follows:
当前值为75,前一个值为50;则突变幅度为:The current value is 75, and the previous value is 50; the mutation amplitude is:
ΔY=∣75−50∣=25;ΔY=|75−50|=25;
持续时间为:从开始时间t=0到结束时间t=5,则持续时间D=5−0=5;The duration is: from the start time t=0 to the end time t=5, then the duration D=5−0=5;
通过FFT得到频率成分为主要频率f=10Hz;The frequency component obtained by FFT is the main frequency f=10Hz;
通过训练模型得出预测概率P(f)=0.8;The predicted probability P(f)=0.8 is obtained by training the model;
则生成预警信号时,如果设定预警阈值T=0.7,则=1,触发预警。When generating an early warning signal, if the early warning threshold T=0.7 is set, then =1, triggering an early warning.
通过上述步骤,可以构建一个基于异常点的故障预警系统,能够有效地检测设备故障并及时发出预警信号。该方法结合了数据分析、特征提取与机器学习模型的优势,具有较高的准确性和实时性。具体实施时,还需根据不同设备和应用场景调整模型参数和算法选择,以提高系统的适应性和效果。Through the above steps, a fault warning system based on abnormal points can be built, which can effectively detect equipment failures and issue warning signals in time. This method combines the advantages of data analysis, feature extraction and machine learning models, and has high accuracy and real-time performance. In specific implementation, it is also necessary to adjust the model parameters and algorithm selection according to different devices and application scenarios to improve the adaptability and effect of the system.
应该理解的是,上述虽然是按照某一顺序描述的,但是这些步骤并不是必然按照上述顺序依次执行。除非本文中有明确的说明,这些步骤的执行并没有严格的顺序限制,这些步骤可以以其它的顺序执行。而且,本实施例的一部分步骤可以包括多个步骤或者多个阶段,这些步骤或者阶段并不必然是在同一时刻执行完成,而是可以在不同的时刻执行,这些步骤或者阶段的执行顺序也不必然是依次进行,而是可以与其它步骤或者其它步骤中的步骤或者阶段的至少一部分轮流或者交替地执行。It should be understood that, although described in a certain order, these steps are not necessarily performed in sequence in the above order. Unless there is clear explanation in this article, the execution of these steps does not have strict order restriction, and these steps can be performed in other orders. Moreover, a part of the steps of the present embodiment may include a plurality of steps or a plurality of stages, and these steps or stages are not necessarily performed at the same time, but can be performed at different times, and the execution order of these steps or stages is not necessarily performed in sequence, but can be performed in turn or alternately with at least a part of the steps or stages in other steps or other steps.
在一个实施例中,本发明提供了一种风电机组运行状态预警阈值的修正系统,用于执行上述风电机组运行状态预警阈值的修正方法,该系统包括:In one embodiment, the present invention provides a system for correcting a warning threshold value of an operating state of a wind turbine generator set, which is used to execute the method for correcting the warning threshold value of an operating state of a wind turbine generator set, and the system comprises:
数据采集模块,用于使用传感器实时采集风机机组的运行数据,形成时间序列数据;A data acquisition module is used to use sensors to collect the operating data of the fan unit in real time to form time series data;
异常监测模块,用于对采集到的时间序列数据进行突变检测,计算累积和序列,将超过阈值的点标记为异常点,并记录每个异常点的位置、幅度和持续时间;The anomaly monitoring module is used to detect mutations in the collected time series data, calculate the cumulative sum series, mark the points exceeding the threshold as anomalies, and record the location, amplitude and duration of each anomaly point;
阈值调整模块,用于基于历史数据和已知状态动态调整预警阈值;Threshold adjustment module, used to dynamically adjust the warning threshold based on historical data and known status;
特征提取模块,用于从风机机组的历史运行数据中提取以异常点为起点的时间序列特征、频域特征和统计特征;并计算每个异常点的突变幅度和持续时间,使用快速傅里叶变换对异常点周围的数据进行频率分析,提取频率成分;The feature extraction module is used to extract the time series features, frequency domain features and statistical features starting from the abnormal point from the historical operation data of the wind turbine unit; calculate the mutation amplitude and duration of each abnormal point, use fast Fourier transform to perform frequency analysis on the data around the abnormal point, and extract the frequency component;
模型训练模块,用于将提取的特征作为输入,训练故障预测模型,学习特征与风机运行状态之间的关系,使用训练后的模型对风机机组的运行状态进行预测和评估,识别出预测结果;A model training module is used to take the extracted features as input, train the fault prediction model, learn the relationship between the features and the operating status of the fan, use the trained model to predict and evaluate the operating status of the fan unit, and identify the prediction results;
预警模块,用于基于异常点的突变幅度、持续时间和频率成分的关键特征参数,以及故障预测模型输出的预测结果,生成预警信号。The early warning module is used to generate early warning signals based on the key characteristic parameters of the mutation amplitude, duration and frequency component of the abnormal point and the prediction results output by the fault prediction model.
本发明的风电机组运行状态预警阈值的修正系统,结合了数据分析、特征提取与机器学习模型的优势,具有较高的准确性和实时性。具体实施时,还需根据不同设备和应用场景调整模型参数和算法选择,以提高系统的适应性和效果。The wind turbine operating status warning threshold correction system of the present invention combines the advantages of data analysis, feature extraction and machine learning models, and has high accuracy and real-time performance. In specific implementation, it is also necessary to adjust the model parameters and algorithm selection according to different devices and application scenarios to improve the adaptability and effect of the system.
在本实施例中,风电机组运行状态预警阈值的修正系统在执行时采用如前述的一种风电机组运行状态预警阈值的修正方法的步骤,因此,本实施例中对风电机组运行状态预警阈值的修正系统的运行过程不再详细介绍。In this embodiment, the wind turbine operating status warning threshold correction system adopts the steps of a wind turbine operating status warning threshold correction method as described above during execution. Therefore, the operation process of the wind turbine operating status warning threshold correction system in this embodiment will not be introduced in detail.
本发明的风电机组运行状态预警阈值的修正方法及系统,通过传感器实时采集风机机组的运行数据,确保能够迅速发现并响应运行状态的异常,提升系统的安全性与可靠性;基于历史数据和已知状态动态调整预警阈值,避免了静态阈值可能导致的误报和漏报现象,使得预警机制更加灵活和精准;利用突变检测及累积和序列分析,准确标记异常点,能够清晰地记录异常发生的位置、幅度和持续时间,为后续分析提供了重要数据支持。从异常点出发提取时间序列特征、频域特征和统计特征,提供了丰富的信息基础,有助于全面理解异常行为的特征及其影响因素;通过快速傅里叶变换对异常点周围数据进行频率分析,能够识别潜在的周期性问题,提升故障预测的深度和广度;训练故障预测模型,学习特征与风机运行状态之间的关系,能够在早期阶段预测潜在的故障风险,从而提前采取措施,减少停机时间和维护成本。通过结合突变幅度、持续时间、频率成分的关键特征参数与预测模型的输出,生成精准的预警信号,帮助管理人员及时做出决策;通过提前识别和预测故障,可以制定更为科学的维护计划,降低因突发故障导致的高昂维护成本,提高风机的运行效率;及时的预警和故障预测能够有效防止因过载或其他异常情况导致的设备损坏,从而延长风机机组的使用寿命。The method and system for correcting the warning threshold of the operating status of a wind turbine unit of the present invention collects the operating data of the wind turbine unit in real time through sensors, ensuring that the abnormality of the operating status can be quickly discovered and responded to, thereby improving the safety and reliability of the system; dynamically adjusting the warning threshold based on historical data and known status avoids false alarms and missed alarms that may be caused by static thresholds, making the warning mechanism more flexible and accurate; using mutation detection and accumulation and sequence analysis to accurately mark abnormal points, the location, amplitude and duration of the abnormality can be clearly recorded, providing important data support for subsequent analysis. Extracting time series features, frequency domain features and statistical features from the abnormal points provides a rich information basis, which helps to fully understand the characteristics of abnormal behavior and its influencing factors; performing frequency analysis on the data around the abnormal points through fast Fourier transform can identify potential periodic problems and improve the depth and breadth of fault prediction; training the fault prediction model and learning the relationship between the features and the operating status of the wind turbine can predict potential fault risks at an early stage, thereby taking measures in advance to reduce downtime and maintenance costs. By combining the key characteristic parameters of mutation amplitude, duration, and frequency components with the output of the prediction model, accurate early warning signals are generated to help managers make timely decisions; by identifying and predicting faults in advance, more scientific maintenance plans can be formulated to reduce the high maintenance costs caused by sudden failures and improve the operating efficiency of the fan; timely early warnings and fault predictions can effectively prevent equipment damage caused by overload or other abnormal conditions, thereby extending the service life of the fan unit.
综上所述,本发明风电机组运行状态预警阈值的修正方法及系统,通过实时监测、动态调整、精确识别和智能预测,极大提高了风机机组的运行安全性和维护效率,具有显著的经济和社会效益。In summary, the method and system for correcting the wind turbine operating status warning threshold of the present invention greatly improve the operating safety and maintenance efficiency of the wind turbine unit through real-time monitoring, dynamic adjustment, precise identification and intelligent prediction, and have significant economic and social benefits.
在一个实施例中,在本发明的实施例中还提供了一种计算机设备,包括至少一个处理器,以及与所述至少一个处理器通信连接的存储器,所述存储器存储有可被所述至少一个处理器执行的指令,所述指令被所述至少一个处理器执行,以使所述至少一个处理器执行所述的风电机组运行状态预警阈值的修正方法的步骤。In one embodiment, a computer device is also provided in an embodiment of the present invention, comprising at least one processor and a memory communicatively connected to the at least one processor, wherein the memory stores instructions executable by the at least one processor, and the instructions are executed by the at least one processor so that the at least one processor executes the steps of the method for correcting the wind turbine operating status warning threshold.
在一个实施例中,本发明还提供了一种计算机可读存储介质,计算机可读存储介质存储有计算机指令,所述计算机指令用于使所述计算机执行所述的风电机组运行状态预警阈值的修正方法的步骤。In one embodiment, the present invention further provides a computer-readable storage medium storing computer instructions, wherein the computer instructions are used to enable the computer to execute the steps of the method for correcting the wind turbine operating status warning threshold.
本领域普通技术人员可以理解实现上述实施例方法中的全部或部分流程,是可以通过计算机指令表征的计算机程序来指令相关的硬件来完成,所述的计算机程序可存储于一非易失性计算机可读取存储介质中,该计算机程序在执行时,可包括如上述各方法的实施例的流程。其中,本申请所提供的各实施例中所使用的对存储器、存储、数据库或其它介质的任何引用,均可包括非易失性和易失性存储器中的至少一种。A person skilled in the art can understand that all or part of the processes in the above-mentioned embodiments can be realized by instructing the relevant hardware through a computer program represented by computer instructions, and the computer program can be stored in a non-volatile computer-readable storage medium. When the computer program is executed, it can include the processes of the embodiments of the above-mentioned methods. Among them, any reference to memory, storage, database or other media used in the embodiments provided in this application can include at least one of non-volatile and volatile memory.
非易失性存储器可包括只读存储器、磁带、软盘、闪存或光存储器等。易失性存储器可包括随机存取存储器或外部高速缓冲存储器。作为说明而非局限,RAM可以是多种形式,比如静态随机存取存储器或动态随机存取存储器等。Non-volatile memory may include read-only memory, magnetic tape, floppy disk, flash memory or optical storage, etc. Volatile memory may include random access memory or external cache memory. As an illustration and not limitation, RAM may be in various forms, such as static random access memory or dynamic random access memory, etc.
以上所述仅为本发明的较佳实施例而已,并不用以限制本发明,凡在本发明的精神和原则之内所作的任何修改、等同替换和改进等,均应包含在本发明的保护范围之内。The above description is only a preferred embodiment of the present invention and is not intended to limit the present invention. Any modifications, equivalent substitutions and improvements made within the spirit and principles of the present invention should be included in the protection scope of the present invention.
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