(Q30663638)

26 June 2017

title

Model systems for a no-analog future: species associations and climates during the last deglaciation (English)

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26 June 2017

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Jacquelyn L Gill

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26 June 2017

Jessica L Blois

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Alejandro Ordonez

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Bryan Shuman

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author name string

John W Williams

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26 June 2017

Leila M Gonzales

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26 June 2017

Eric C Grimm

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26 June 2017

Samuel D Veloz

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26 June 2017

language of work or name

English

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publication date

27 August 2013

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Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences

26 June 2017

published in

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26 June 2017

volume

1297

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26 June 2017

page(s)

29-43

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Ecological forecasts: an emerging imperative

26 June 2017

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A framework for community interactions under climate change

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Rapid range shifts of species associated with high levels of climate warming

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Cities as harbingers of climate change: common ragweed, urbanization, and public health

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Comment on "Climatic niche shifts are rare among terrestrial plant invaders".

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Late Miocene decoupling of oceanic warmth and atmospheric carbon dioxide forcing

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The Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum: A Perturbation of Carbon Cycle, Climate, and Biosphere with Implications for the Future

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Long-term aridity changes in the western United States.

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Approaching a state shift in Earth’s biosphere

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Has the Earth’s sixth mass extinction already arrived?

21 January 2018

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Climate sensitivity estimated from temperature reconstructions of the Last Glacial Maximum

21 January 2018

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Global warming preceded by increasing carbon dioxide concentrations during the last deglaciation

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High-resolution Greenland ice core data show abrupt climate change happens in few years

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Atmospheric CO2 concentrations over the last glacial termination

21 January 2018

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Glacial trees from the La Brea tar pits show physiological constraints of low CO₂.

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Global vegetation and terrestrial carbon cycle changes after the last ice age.

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Climatic and biotic velocities for woody taxa distributions over the last 16 000 years in eastern North America

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Phylogeographic insights into cryptic glacial refugia

21 January 2018

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Assessing the Causes of Late Pleistocene Extinctions on the Continents

21 January 2018

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Pleistocene megafaunal collapse, novel plant communities, and enhanced fire regimes in North America

21 January 2018

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The evolutionary consequence of the individualistic response to climate change

21 January 2018

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Biodiversity baselines, thresholds and resilience: testing predictions and assumptions using palaeoecological data.

21 January 2018

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Climatic and megaherbivory controls on late-glacial vegetation dynamics: a new, high-resolution, multi-proxy record from Silver Lake, Ohio

21 January 2018

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Vegetation history in central Kentucky and Tennessee (USA) during the last glacial and deglacial periods

21 January 2018

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Transient simulation of last deglaciation with a new mechanism for Bolling-Allerod warming

21 January 2018

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Northern Hemisphere forcing of Southern Hemisphere climate during the last deglaciation

21 January 2018

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Realized climatic niche of North American plant taxa lagged behind climate during the end of the Pleistocene

21 January 2018

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Space can substitute for time in predicting climate-change effects on biodiversity

21 January 2018

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Megafauna biomass tradeoff as a driver of Quaternary and future extinctions

21 January 2018

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Evidence for deposition of 10 million tonnes of impact spherules across four continents 12,800 y ago

21 January 2018

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Sporormiella and the late Holocene extinctions in Madagascar

21 January 2018

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The Aftermath of Megafaunal Extinction: Ecosystem Transformation in Pleistocene Australia

21 January 2018

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The influence of aridity and fire on holocene prairie communities in the eastern Prairie Peninsula

21 January 2018

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Impacts of warming on tropical lowland rainforests

21 January 2018

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Global warming, elevational range shifts, and lowland biotic attrition in the wet tropics

21 January 2018

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Extinction risk from climate change

21 January 2018

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Measuring ecological niche overlap from occurrence and spatial environmental data

21 January 2018

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https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1111%2FNYAS.12226

Global climate evolution during the last deglaciation

21 January 2018

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https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1111%2FNYAS.12226

Modeling species co-occurrence by multivariate logistic regression generates new hypotheses on fungal interactions

21 January 2018

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Ecology. Biotic multipliers of climate change

21 January 2018

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Transient floral change and rapid global warming at the Paleocene-Eocene boundary

21 January 2018

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Were the Late Pleistocene climatic changes responsible for the disappearance of the European spotted hyena populations? Hindcasting a species geographic distribution across time

21 January 2018

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Projected climate-induced faunal change in the Western Hemisphere

21 January 2018

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Effects of late quaternary climate change on Palearctic shrews

21 January 2018

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On a collision course: competition and dispersal differences create no-analogue communities and cause extinctions during climate change.

21 January 2018

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Paleoecoinformatics: applying geohistorical data to ecological questions

21 January 2018

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Mechanistic niche modelling: combining physiological and spatial data to predict species' ranges

21 January 2018

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On improving the communication between models and data

21 January 2018

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A primer for data assimilation with ecological models using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC).

21 January 2018

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Parameter identifiability, constraint, and equifinality in data assimilation with ecosystem models

21 January 2018

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Orbital and millennial Antarctic climate variability over the past 800,000 years.

21 January 2018

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High-resolution carbon dioxide concentration record 650,000-800,000 years before present

21 January 2018

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Disequilibrium vegetation dynamics under future climate change

21 January 2018

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Tracking of climatic niche boundaries under recent climate change

21 January 2018

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Fingerprints of global warming on wild animals and plants

21 January 2018

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Insolation values for the climate of the last 10 million years

21 January 2018

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Modelling horses for novel climate courses: insights from projecting potential distributions of native and alien Australian acacias with correlative and mechanistic models

21 January 2018

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The limits to prediction in ecological systems

21 January 2018

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https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1111%2FNYAS.12226

A new generation of climate-change experiments: events, not trends

21 January 2018

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https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1111%2FNYAS.12226

Late Pleistocene climate change, nutrient cycling, and the megafaunal extinctions in North America

21 January 2018

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https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1111%2FNYAS.12226

Earth Stewardship: science for action to sustain the human-earth system

21 January 2018

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https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1111%2FNYAS.12226

Species Distribution Models: Ecological Explanation and Prediction Across Space and Time

21 January 2018

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https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1111%2FNYAS.12226

Correlation and process in species distribution models: bridging a dichotomy

21 January 2018

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https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1111%2FNYAS.12226

Global Warming and Soil Microclimate: Results from a Meadow-Warming Experiment

21 January 2018

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https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1111%2FNYAS.12226

A new Greenland ice core chronology for the last glacial termination

21 January 2018

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https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1111%2FNYAS.12226

The importance of low atmospheric CO2 and fire in promoting the spread of grasslands and savannas

21 January 2018

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https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1111%2FNYAS.12226

MODERN ANALOGS IN QUATERNARY PALEOECOLOGY: Here Today, Gone Yesterday, Gone Tomorrow?

21 January 2018

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https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1111%2FNYAS.12226

Impacts of climate change on species, populations and communities: palaeobiogeographical insights and frontiers

21 January 2018

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Forecasting the Effects of Global Warming on Biodiversity

21 January 2018

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https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1111%2FNYAS.12226

A methodological framework for assessing and reducing temporal uncertainty in paleovegetation mapping from late-Quaternary pollen records

21 January 2018

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https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1111%2FNYAS.12226

Sporormiella as a proxy for non-mammalian herbivores in island ecosystems

21 January 2018

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https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1111%2FNYAS.12226

Five (or so) challenges for species distribution modelling

21 January 2018

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https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1111%2FNYAS.12226

Using species co-occurrence networks to assess the impacts of climate change

21 January 2018

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Forecasting the future of biodiversity: a test of single- and multi-species models for ants in North America

21 January 2018

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Using generalized dissimilarity modelling to analyse and predict patterns of beta diversity in regional biodiversity assessment

21 January 2018

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Spatial modelling of biodiversity at the community level

21 January 2018

1 reference

https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1111%2FNYAS.12226

Novel methods improve prediction of species’ distributions from occurrence data

21 January 2018

1 reference

https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1111%2FNYAS.12226

Individualistic vs community modelling of species distributions under climate change

21 January 2018

1 reference

https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1111%2FNYAS.12226

Building the niche through time: using 13,000 years of data to predict the effects of climate change on three tree species in Europe

21 January 2018

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https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1111%2FNYAS.12226

Observing changing ecological diversity in the Anthropocene

21 January 2018

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https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1111%2FNYAS.12226

Connecting dynamic vegetation models to data - an inverse perspective

21 January 2018

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https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1111%2FNYAS.12226

New coupled model used inversely for reconstructing past terrestrial carbon storage from pollen data: validation of model using modern data

21 January 2018

1 reference

https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1111%2FNYAS.12226

Influences of species, latitudes and methodologies on estimates of phenological response to global warming

21 January 2018

1 reference

https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1111%2FNYAS.12226

Climate Relicts: Past, Present, Future

21 January 2018

1 reference

https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1111%2FNYAS.12226

From card catalogs to computers: databases in vertebrate paleontology

21 January 2018

1 reference

https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1111%2FNYAS.12226

Predicting potential climate change impacts with bioclimate envelope models: a palaeoecological perspective

21 January 2018

1 reference

https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1111%2FNYAS.12226

Influence of sample location and livestock numbers on Sporormiella concentrations and accumulation rates in surface sediments of Lake Allos, French Alps

21 January 2018

1 reference

https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1111%2FNYAS.12226

Method selection for species distribution modelling: are temporally or spatially independent evaluations necessary?

21 January 2018

1 reference

https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1111%2FNYAS.12226

The temperature response of soil microbial efficiency and its feedback to climate

21 January 2018

1 reference

https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1111%2FNYAS.12226

LATE-QUATERNARY VEGETATION DYNAMICS IN NORTH AMERICA: SCALING FROM TAXA TO BIOMES

21 January 2018

1 reference

https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1111%2FNYAS.12226

Quantitative reconstructions in palaeolimnology: new paradigm or sick science?

21 January 2018

1 reference

https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1111%2FNYAS.12226

A method for climate and vegetation reconstruction through the inversion of a dynamic vegetation model

21 January 2018

1 reference

https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1111%2FNYAS.12226

The projection of species distribution models and the problem of non-analog climate

21 January 2018

1 reference

https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1111%2FNYAS.12226

Modeling the climatic drivers of spatial patterns in vegetation composition since the Last Glacial Maximum

21 January 2018

1 reference

https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1111%2FNYAS.12226

21 January 2018

Identifiers

DOI

10.1111/NYAS.12226

1 reference

26 June 2017

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