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Quantifying dimensionality: Bayesian cosmological model complexities

Will Handley and Pablo Lemos
Phys. Rev. D 100, 023512 – Published 15 July 2019

Abstract

We demonstrate a measure for the effective number of parameters constrained by a posterior distribution in the context of cosmology. In the same way that the mean of the Shannon information (i.e., the Kullback-Leibler divergence) provides a measure of the strength of constraint between prior and posterior, we show that the variance of the Shannon information gives a measure of dimensionality of constraint. We examine this quantity in a cosmological context, applying it to likelihoods derived from the cosmic microwave background, large-scale structure and supernovae data. We show that this measure of Bayesian model dimensionality compares favorably both analytically and numerically in a cosmological context with the existing measure of model complexity used in the literature.

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  • Received 26 April 2019
  • Corrected 5 June 2020

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevD.100.023512

© 2019 American Physical Society

Physics Subject Headings (PhySH)

General PhysicsGravitation, Cosmology & Astrophysics

Corrections

5 June 2020

Correction: Equation (35) contained a minor error in presentation and has been fixed.

Authors & Affiliations

Will Handley1,2,3,* and Pablo Lemos4,†

  • 1Astrophysics Group, Cavendish Laboratory, J.J. Thomson Avenue, Cambridge CB3 0HE, United Kingdom
  • 2Kavli Institute for Cosmology, Madingley Road, Cambridge CB3 0HA, United Kingdom
  • 3Gonville & Caius College, Trinity Street, Cambridge CB2 1TA, United Kingdom
  • 4Department of Physics and Astronomy, University College London, Gower Street, London WC1E 6BT, United Kingdom

  • *wh260@mrao.cam.ac.uk
  • pablo.lemos.18@ucl.ac.uk

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Issue

Vol. 100, Iss. 2 — 15 July 2019

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