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David V. Budescu
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2020 – today
- 2023
- [j22]Daniel M. Benjamin, Fred Morstatter, Ali E. Abbas, Andrés Abeliuk, Pavel Atanasov, Stephen Bennett, Andreas Beger
, Saurabh Birari, David V. Budescu, Michele Catasta, Emilio Ferrara, Lucas Haravitch, Mark Himmelstein, K. S. M. Tozammel Hossain, Yuzhong Huang, Woojeong Jin, Regina Joseph, Jure Leskovec
, Akira Matsui, Mehrnoosh Mirtaheri, Xiang Ren, Gleb Satyukov, Rajiv Sethi, Amandeep Singh, Rok Sosic, Mark Steyvers, Pedro A. Szekely, Michael D. Ward, Aram Galstyan
:
Hybrid forecasting of geopolitical events†. AI Mag. 44(1): 112-128 (2023)
2010 – 2019
- 2019
- [j21]Yuyu Fan
, David V. Budescu
, David R. Mandel
, Mark Himmelstein:
Improving Accuracy by Coherence Weighting of Direct and Ratio Probability Judgments. Decis. Anal. 16(3): 197-217 (2019) - [c6]Fred Morstatter, Aram Galstyan, Gleb Satyukov, Daniel Benjamin
, Andrés Abeliuk, Mehrnoosh Mirtaheri, K. S. M. Tozammel Hossain, Pedro A. Szekely
, Emilio Ferrara
, Akira Matsui, Mark Steyvers
, Stephen Bennett, David V. Budescu, Mark Himmelstein, Michael D. Ward, Andreas Beger
, Michele Catasta, Rok Sosic, Jure Leskovec, Pavel Atanasov, Regina Joseph, Rajiv Sethi, Ali E. Abbas:
SAGE: A Hybrid Geopolitical Event Forecasting System. IJCAI 2019: 6557-6559 - 2016
- [j20]Eva Chen, David V. Budescu, Shrinidhi K. Lakshmikanth, Barbara A. Mellers, Philip E. Tetlock:
Validating the Contribution-Weighted Model: Robustness and Cost-Benefit Analyses. Decis. Anal. 13(2): 128-152 (2016) - 2015
- [j19]Clintin P. Davis-Stober, David V. Budescu, Stephen B. Broomell, Jason Dana:
The Composition of Optimally Wise Crowds. Decis. Anal. 12(3): 130-143 (2015) - [j18]David V. Budescu, Eva Chen:
Identifying Expertise to Extract the Wisdom of Crowds. Manag. Sci. 61(2): 267-280 (2015) - 2014
- [j17]Brandon M. Turner, Mark Steyvers
, Edgar C. Merkle
, David V. Budescu, Thomas S. Wallsten:
Forecast aggregation via recalibration. Mach. Learn. 95(3): 261-289 (2014) - [i1]Clintin P. Davis-Stober, David V. Budescu, Jason Dana, Stephen B. Broomell:
When is a crowd wise? CoRR abs/1406.7563 (2014) - 2013
- [j16]Boris Maciejovsky, Matthias Sutter
, David V. Budescu, Patrick Bernau:
Teams Make You Smarter: How Exposure to Teams Improves Individual Decisions in Probability and Reasoning Tasks. Manag. Sci. 59(6): 1255-1270 (2013) - 2012
- [j15]L. Robin Keller, Ali E. Abbas, J. Eric Bickel
, Vicki M. Bier, David V. Budescu, John C. Butler, Enrico Diecidue, Robin L. Dillon-Merrill, Raimo P. Hämäläinen
, Kenneth C. Lichtendahl Jr., Jason R. W. Merrick, Jay R. Simon
, George Wu:
From the Editors - Brainstorming, Multiplicative Utilities, Partial Information on Probabilities or Outcomes, and Regulatory Focus. Decis. Anal. 9(4): 297-302 (2012) - [j14]Michael Smithson
, David V. Budescu, Stephen B. Broomell, Han-Hui Por:
Never say "not": Impact of negative wording in probability phrases on imprecise probability judgments. Int. J. Approx. Reason. 53(8): 1262-1270 (2012) - [c5]Dirk B. Warnaar, Edgar C. Merkle, Mark Steyvers, Thomas S. Wallsten, Eric R. Stone, David V. Budescu, J. Frank Yates, Winston R. Sieck, Hal R. Arkes, Chris F. Argenta, Youngwon Shin, Jennifer N. Carter:
The Aggregative Contingent Estimation System: Selecting, Rewarding, and Training Experts in a Wisdom of Crowds Approach to Forecasting. AAAI Spring Symposium: Wisdom of the Crowd 2012 - 2011
- [j13]L. Robin Keller, Ali E. Abbas, J. Eric Bickel
, Vicki M. Bier, David V. Budescu, John C. Butler, Philippe Delquié, Kenneth C. Lichtendahl Jr., Jason R. W. Merrick, Ahti Salo, George Wu:
From the Editors - Probability Scoring Rules, Ambiguity, Multiattribute Terrorist Utility, and Sensitivity Analysis. Decis. Anal. 8(4): 251-255 (2011) - 2010
- [j12]L. Robin Keller, Ali E. Abbas, Manel Baucells
, Vicki M. Bier, David V. Budescu, John C. Butler, Philippe Delquié, Jason R. W. Merrick, Ahti Salo, George Wu:
From the Editors... Decis. Anal. 7(4): 327-330 (2010) - [j11]Ali E. Abbas, David V. Budescu, Yuhong (Rola) Gu:
Assessing Joint Distributions with Isoprobability Contours. Manag. Sci. 56(6): 997-1011 (2010)
2000 – 2009
- 2009
- [j10]Boris Maciejovsky, David V. Budescu, Dan Ariely:
Research Note - The Researcher as a Consumer of Scientific Publications: How Do Name-Ordering Conventions Affect Inferences About Contribution Credits? Mark. Sci. 28(3): 589-598 (2009) - 2008
- [j9]Ali E. Abbas, David V. Budescu, Hsiu-Ting Yu, Ryan Haggerty:
A Comparison of Two Probability Encoding Methods: Fixed Probability vs. Fixed Variable Values. Decis. Anal. 5(4): 190-202 (2008) - 2007
- [j8]David V. Budescu, Ning Du:
Coherence and Consistency of Investors' Probability Judgments. Manag. Sci. 53(11): 1731-1744 (2007) - 2006
- [j7]David V. Budescu, Hsiu-Ting Yu:
To Bayes or Not to Bayes? A Comparison of Two Classes of Models of Information Aggregation. Decis. Anal. 3(3): 145-162 (2006) - [j6]Eldad Yechiam, David V. Budescu:
The Sensitivity of Probability Assessments to Time Units and Performer Characteristics. Decis. Anal. 3(3): 177-193 (2006) - 2005
- [j5]Ning Du, David V. Budescu:
The Effects of Imprecise Probabilities and Outcomes in Evaluating Investment Options. Manag. Sci. 51(12): 1791-1803 (2005) - [j4]David V. Budescu, Boris Maciejovsky:
The Effect of Payoff Feedback and Information Pooling on Reasoning Errors: Evidence from Experimental Markets. Manag. Sci. 51(12): 1829-1843 (2005) - 2003
- [c4]David V. Budescu, Tzur M. Karelitz:
Inter-Personal Communication of Precise and Imprecise Subjective Probabilities. ISIPTA 2003: 91-105 - 2002
- [c3]Tzur M. Karelitz, Mandeep K. Dhami, David V. Budescu, Thomas S. Wallsten:
Toward a Universal Translator of Verbal Probabilities. FLAIRS 2002: 498-502
1990 – 1999
- 1999
- [c2]Adrian K. Rantilla, David V. Budescu:
Aggregation of Expert Opinions. HICSS 1999 - [c1]Karen M. Kramer, David V. Budescu:
Modeling Ellsberg's Paradox in Vague-Vague Cases. ISIPTA 1999: 249-257 - 1995
- [j3]Thomas S. Wallsten, David V. Budescu:
A review of human linguistic probability processing: General principles and empirical evidence. Knowl. Eng. Rev. 10(1): 43-62 (1995) - 1990
- [j2]David V. Budescu, Rami Zwick
, Thomas S. Wallsten, Ido Erev
:
Integration of Linguistic Probabilities. Int. J. Man Mach. Stud. 33(6): 657-676 (1990)
1980 – 1989
- 1987
- [j1]Rami Zwick
, Edward Carlstein, David V. Budescu:
Measures of similarity among fuzzy concepts: A comparative analysis. Int. J. Approx. Reason. 1(2): 221-242 (1987)
Coauthor Index
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