Journal of Agricultural & Food Industrial Organization, Jan 29, 2010
In this paper, we propose an optimal marketing decision model in the context of poor agrarian eco... more In this paper, we propose an optimal marketing decision model in the context of poor agrarian economies. We consider a risk averse banana producer who faces an optimal allocation decision on how much to sell to a cooperative vis-à-vis private traders. To validate the model, a ...
Abstract: Despite the huge decline in the contribution of agriculture to the Sudanese exports fro... more Abstract: Despite the huge decline in the contribution of agriculture to the Sudanese exports from 73% in 1998 to only 5% in 2007 as a result of the growing share of petroleum; agriculture remain an important sector in the economy contributing 35% to GDP in 2007 and employing about 70% of the Sudanese labour force. Traditional agriculture occupies 60% of the total cultivated land and employs 65% of the total agricultural population; nonetheless, it contributes only 16% to total agricultural GDP, attributed to low crop productivity beside ...
In response to climate change, farmers implement various adaptation strategies. This study aimed ... more In response to climate change, farmers implement various adaptation strategies. This study aimed at investigating the factors that determine adaptation choices using multivariate and ordered econom...
In this paper, using the new GTAP African database, we simulate the overall implication of 5 perc... more In this paper, using the new GTAP African database, we simulate the overall implication of 5 percent and 10 percent target subsidy on fruit and vegetables sector in Ethiopia. At macro level, the result reveals that the target subsidy leads to a decline in the overall trade balance. In terms of welfare, the intervention has been found to have positive impact for a 10 percent target subsidy and a slight decline for a 5 percent subsidy rate. The policy has also a positive impact on the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) both in terms of value and volume. However, the result reveals that prices particularly in the grains and other crops sector have increased following the policy. As grains and other crops take the lion’s share of the household budget in Ethiopia, export-promotion policies should be accompanied by some price stabilization policies in the other sector and consider the livelihood of the poor. The food security status of the poor should not be compromised.
Despite the huge decline in the contribution of agriculture to the Sudanese exports from 73% in 1... more Despite the huge decline in the contribution of agriculture to the Sudanese exports from 73% in 1998 to only 5% in 2007 as a result of the growing share of petroleum; agriculture remain an important sector in the economy contributing 35% to GDP in 2007 and employing about 70% of the Sudanese labour force. Traditional agriculture occupies 60% of the total cultivated land and employs 65% of the total agricultural population; nonetheless, it contributes only 16% to total agricultural GDP, attributed to low crop productivity beside the concurrent droughts. These factors have influenced food security situation in the region negatively and increased poverty rates. The objective of this paper is therefore to investigate the effects of improving the agricultural efficiency in the traditional rainfed sector of Sudan assuming additional capital allocation and improving the skills of labour. These assumptions are justified by the increasing investments flows in the Sudanese agriculture especia...
Journal of Agricultural & Food Industrial Organization, 2010
In this paper, we propose an optimal marketing decision model in the context of poor agrarian eco... more In this paper, we propose an optimal marketing decision model in the context of poor agrarian economies. We consider a risk averse banana producer who faces an optimal allocation decision on how much to sell to a cooperative vis-à-vis private traders. To validate the model, a ...
In the poorest countries like Ethiopia the spillover effects of a soaring food price is unbearabl... more In the poorest countries like Ethiopia the spillover effects of a soaring food price is unbearable. To mitigate the recent rise in food prices and the burden on urban poor consumers, policy makers have considered various measures. A recent shift from subsidizing oil to grain to ease the spiraling cost of food is one attempt the Ethiopian government has made so far. To this end, the government has removed an $800 m annual subsidy on petroleum products and used the money to combat rising grain prices. Using ...
Abstract: Agricultural productivity in Sudan is historically known to be low, particularly in the... more Abstract: Agricultural productivity in Sudan is historically known to be low, particularly in the traditional sector. Trueblood and Coggins (2001) stated that, Sudan's decrease in agricultural productivity during the period (1961-1991) was due to decreases in both efficiency and technology adoption. Similar studies focusing on Sudan ascribe the low productivity to technology, unskilled labour and less input use. Accordingly this study assesses the impact of improving skills of labour and increasing the capital allocated to ...
In the poorest countries like Ethiopia the spillover effects of a soaring food price is unbearabl... more In the poorest countries like Ethiopia the spillover effects of a soaring food price is unbearable. To mitigate the recent rise in food prices and the burden on urban poor consumers, different measures have been considered by policy makers. A recent shift from subsidizing oil to grain to ease the spiraling cost of food is one attempt the Ethiopian government has made so far. To this end the government has removed an $800m annual subsidy on petroleum products and uses the money to combat rising grain prices. Using the standard GTAP model and the recent GTAP Africa database this paper simulates the overall implication of 5 and 10 percent increase of subsidy on wheat. Regarding the impact on prices, the simulation result tells us that prices have indeed fall. At macro level, the result reveals subsidy on wheat leads to a decline in the overall trade balance. In terms of welfare, the intervention has been found to have positive impact.
Journal of Agricultural & Food Industrial Organization, Jan 29, 2010
In this paper, we propose an optimal marketing decision model in the context of poor agrarian eco... more In this paper, we propose an optimal marketing decision model in the context of poor agrarian economies. We consider a risk averse banana producer who faces an optimal allocation decision on how much to sell to a cooperative vis-à-vis private traders. To validate the model, a ...
Abstract: Despite the huge decline in the contribution of agriculture to the Sudanese exports fro... more Abstract: Despite the huge decline in the contribution of agriculture to the Sudanese exports from 73% in 1998 to only 5% in 2007 as a result of the growing share of petroleum; agriculture remain an important sector in the economy contributing 35% to GDP in 2007 and employing about 70% of the Sudanese labour force. Traditional agriculture occupies 60% of the total cultivated land and employs 65% of the total agricultural population; nonetheless, it contributes only 16% to total agricultural GDP, attributed to low crop productivity beside ...
In response to climate change, farmers implement various adaptation strategies. This study aimed ... more In response to climate change, farmers implement various adaptation strategies. This study aimed at investigating the factors that determine adaptation choices using multivariate and ordered econom...
In this paper, using the new GTAP African database, we simulate the overall implication of 5 perc... more In this paper, using the new GTAP African database, we simulate the overall implication of 5 percent and 10 percent target subsidy on fruit and vegetables sector in Ethiopia. At macro level, the result reveals that the target subsidy leads to a decline in the overall trade balance. In terms of welfare, the intervention has been found to have positive impact for a 10 percent target subsidy and a slight decline for a 5 percent subsidy rate. The policy has also a positive impact on the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) both in terms of value and volume. However, the result reveals that prices particularly in the grains and other crops sector have increased following the policy. As grains and other crops take the lion’s share of the household budget in Ethiopia, export-promotion policies should be accompanied by some price stabilization policies in the other sector and consider the livelihood of the poor. The food security status of the poor should not be compromised.
Despite the huge decline in the contribution of agriculture to the Sudanese exports from 73% in 1... more Despite the huge decline in the contribution of agriculture to the Sudanese exports from 73% in 1998 to only 5% in 2007 as a result of the growing share of petroleum; agriculture remain an important sector in the economy contributing 35% to GDP in 2007 and employing about 70% of the Sudanese labour force. Traditional agriculture occupies 60% of the total cultivated land and employs 65% of the total agricultural population; nonetheless, it contributes only 16% to total agricultural GDP, attributed to low crop productivity beside the concurrent droughts. These factors have influenced food security situation in the region negatively and increased poverty rates. The objective of this paper is therefore to investigate the effects of improving the agricultural efficiency in the traditional rainfed sector of Sudan assuming additional capital allocation and improving the skills of labour. These assumptions are justified by the increasing investments flows in the Sudanese agriculture especia...
Journal of Agricultural & Food Industrial Organization, 2010
In this paper, we propose an optimal marketing decision model in the context of poor agrarian eco... more In this paper, we propose an optimal marketing decision model in the context of poor agrarian economies. We consider a risk averse banana producer who faces an optimal allocation decision on how much to sell to a cooperative vis-à-vis private traders. To validate the model, a ...
In the poorest countries like Ethiopia the spillover effects of a soaring food price is unbearabl... more In the poorest countries like Ethiopia the spillover effects of a soaring food price is unbearable. To mitigate the recent rise in food prices and the burden on urban poor consumers, policy makers have considered various measures. A recent shift from subsidizing oil to grain to ease the spiraling cost of food is one attempt the Ethiopian government has made so far. To this end, the government has removed an $800 m annual subsidy on petroleum products and used the money to combat rising grain prices. Using ...
Abstract: Agricultural productivity in Sudan is historically known to be low, particularly in the... more Abstract: Agricultural productivity in Sudan is historically known to be low, particularly in the traditional sector. Trueblood and Coggins (2001) stated that, Sudan's decrease in agricultural productivity during the period (1961-1991) was due to decreases in both efficiency and technology adoption. Similar studies focusing on Sudan ascribe the low productivity to technology, unskilled labour and less input use. Accordingly this study assesses the impact of improving skills of labour and increasing the capital allocated to ...
In the poorest countries like Ethiopia the spillover effects of a soaring food price is unbearabl... more In the poorest countries like Ethiopia the spillover effects of a soaring food price is unbearable. To mitigate the recent rise in food prices and the burden on urban poor consumers, different measures have been considered by policy makers. A recent shift from subsidizing oil to grain to ease the spiraling cost of food is one attempt the Ethiopian government has made so far. To this end the government has removed an $800m annual subsidy on petroleum products and uses the money to combat rising grain prices. Using the standard GTAP model and the recent GTAP Africa database this paper simulates the overall implication of 5 and 10 percent increase of subsidy on wheat. Regarding the impact on prices, the simulation result tells us that prices have indeed fall. At macro level, the result reveals subsidy on wheat leads to a decline in the overall trade balance. In terms of welfare, the intervention has been found to have positive impact.
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